OASIS FORUM Post by the Golden Rule. GoldTent Oasis is not responsible for content or accuracy of posts. DYODD.


Posted by Moggy @ 19:40 on January 3, 2015  

LOL, here I’ve had the cure for STDs and didn’t even realize it!  Woo hoo!

Cat jumping on Christmas tree


Posted by longtimer @ 18:58 on January 3, 2015  

Putin, “whoever wants to kill the Russian bear WILL fail….”



Posted by treefrog @ 18:51 on January 3, 2015  

i’m not sure your formula will work on flu any better than on other diseases.  with that much garlic just before bed, you will be safe from std’s.  nobody will get close enough to you.  it will probably keep you safe from werewolves, too.  🙂

and this too! think local.

Posted by WANKA @ 18:30 on January 3, 2015  


Thousands of ancient coins discovered in Buckinghamshire field

Posted by WANKA @ 17:19 on January 3, 2015  



Posted by goldielocks @ 16:29 on January 3, 2015  

Per Palin, we export inflation import real stuff? China just turns around buys dollars and they think they have them where they want them. They export jobs and import poverty. What happens when China decides to float their currency. Right now they won’t because it’s economically at their advantage.

Flu Remedy

Posted by Moggy @ 15:55 on January 3, 2015  

Crush 1/2 of a large fresh garlic clove and several slices of ginger root in a cup.

Add 1 TBSP of lemon juice and 1 tsp honey.  Pour boiling water into cup and let sit for at least 5 minutes.  Do not boil.

Drink every day about 1 hour before bed.

If already sick, drink 3 times a day.

Ipso-Kass is the real deal-not just a letter writer peddling subscriptions-he manages money and has a good record-I

Posted by Richard640 @ 15:41 on January 3, 2015  

dunno if he is right but it’s good to see such a celebrity-high profile-manager touting gold


Posted by goldielocks @ 15:06 on January 3, 2015  

At the same time we have a increasing problem with military type police police brutality violation of rights so forth.

Take a good look at this guy who may be a force behind it and where ever he goes there is trouble and marches in streets by both black and white or say trouble.  Wanna know where militarization climbing from herea one to take a look at.

Bratton worked as a private consultant with Kroll Associates, also known as LAPD’s Independent Monitor,[15] until his appointment by the Mayor of Los Angeles James Hahn as the LAPD’s 54th Chief of Police in October 2002. Bratton was one of three candidates recommended to Hahn by the Los Angeles Police Commission under Commission President Rick J. Caruso.[16] Under Bratton’s tenure, crime within the city dropped for six consecutive years.[17]

On June 19, 2007, the LA Police Commission reappointed Bratton to a second five-year term, the first reappointment of an LAPD chief in almost twenty years.

Bratton has been criticized for his extensive travel; in 2005, he was out of town for a full third of the year on both official and personal business.[18]

In March 2009, Councilman Herb Wesson proposed an amendment[19] to the City Charter, allowing Bratton to serve a third consecutive term as Police Chief.

On September 11, 2009, he was awarded with the honorary title of Commander of the Most Excellent Order of the British Empire by Queen Elizabeth II “in recognition of his work to promote cooperation between US and UK police throughout his distinguished career.”[20] On 12 August 2011, Bratton said he was in talks with the British Government to become an adviser on controlling the violence that had affected London the prior week. He said he received a phone call from U.K. Prime Minister David Cameron, and that he would continue speaking with British officials to formalize an agreement.[21]Cameron initially wanted to appoint Bratton Commissioner of Police of the Metropolis of London, but was overruled by Home Secretary Theresa May, who insisted that only a British citizen should be able to run the Service.[22][23]

On December 4, 2013 (one day before his return to New York City was announced), Bratton appeared on the BBC’s Newsnight programme to discuss policing, and in particular, the possibility of him one day leading the Metropolitan Police. Asked if he was still interested in the job, Bratton said: “That remains to be seen. I happen to be, I think, a good friend and admirer of your current commissioner (Bernard Hogan-Howe)… And understanding that you have got political issues that are being wrestled with at this time over there… I’ve made it quite well known that at some point in my life that if the position were to open that would be certainly something I would take a look at. The position is not open and is not likely to open for a few years and in the meantime I think you have got somebody in the position there that’s doing a pretty good job.”[24]

On December 27, 2012, he was hired as a consultant for the city of Oakland, California.[25] On January 13, 2013, The Oakland City Council approved the hiring of Bratton with a vote of 7-1.[26]

Return to New York City
On December 5, 2013, New York City mayor-elect Bill de Blasio named Bratton as New York City’s new Police Commissioner to replace Raymond Kelly after de Blasio’s swearing-in on January 1, 2014. The New York Timesreported that at Bratton’s swearing in on January 2, 2014, the new Police Commissioner praised his predecessor Raymond Kelly, but also signalled his intention to strike a more conciliatory tone with ordinary[who?] New Yorkers who had become disillusioned with policing in the city: “We will all work hard to identify why is it that so many in this city do not feel good about this department that has done so much to make them safe — what has it been about our activities that have made so many alienated?”.[27]

… and don’t let the door hit you in the butt on the way out …

Posted by ipso facto @ 14:26 on January 3, 2015  

The Gloves Come Off: Germany Says Grexit “Manageable” As Tsipras Demands Greek Debt Writeoff


Richard640 @ 14:00

Posted by ipso facto @ 14:22 on January 3, 2015  

I must say, Kass’s predictions sound very plausible. Thanks for the post.

The brilliant-the incomparable-the gorgeous Doug Kass with his predictions for 2015–and gold is number one!

Posted by Richard640 @ 14:00 on January 3, 2015  

As a result of the influences above, the VIX rises above 30. The price of gold soars to $1,800-to-$2000 and the precious metal is the best-performing asset class for all of 2015.

Strategy: Buy (GLD) and (VIX.X) , Short (SPY) , (QQQ) and German Bunds

My 15 Surprises for 2015

At last, here are my 15 surprises for 2015 (with a strategy that might be employed in order for an investor to profit from the occurrence of these possible improbables).

1. Faith in central bankers is tested (stocks sink and gold soars).

“Investment bubbles and high animal spirits do not materialize out of thin air. They need extremely favorable economic fundamentals together with free and easy, cheap credit and they need it for at least two or three years. Importantly, they also need serial pleasant surprises in such criticial variables as global GNP growth.” — Jeremy Grantham

“The highly abnormal is becoming uncomfortably normal. Central banks and markets have been pushing benchmark sovereign yields to extraordinary lows — unimaginable just a few years back. Three-year government bond yields are well below zero in Germany, around zero in Japan and below 1 per cent in the United States. Moreover, estimates of term premia are pointing south again, with some evolving firmly in negative territory. And as all this is happening, global growth — in inflation-adjusted terms — is close to historical averages. There is something vaguely troubling when the unthinkable becomes routine.” — Claudio Borio

European QE Backfires: The ECB initiates a sovereign QE in January 2015, but it is modest in scale (relative to expectations) as Germany won’t permit a more aggressive strategy. Markets are disappointed with the small size of the ECB’s initiative and European banks choose to hold their bonds instead of selling. ECB balance sheet still can’t get to 3 trillion euros and the euro actually rallies sharply. Bottom line, QE fails to work (economic growth doesn’t accelerate and inflationary expectations don’t lift).

Draghi Is Exposed: Mario Draghi is exposed for what he really is: the big kid of which everyone is scared. For some time, no one wanted to fight him (or fade sovereign debt bonds, which would be contra to his policy). But, after the meek January QE, the response changes. He is now seen as the bully who never throws a punch and who always has gotten his way. But at the time of the January QE a medium-sized kid (and a market participant) teases him and Draghi warns him again to stop it. The kid keeps teasing. Draghi the bully takes a swing, it turns out he can’t fight and the medium-sized kid whips his butt. From then on, the big kid is feared no more. For some time Draghi has said he will do “whatever it takes,” but he never really had to do anything. When he finally gets going and has to act rather than talk, he will expose himself as only a bully and as a weak big kid. Mario Draghi gets fed up with the Germans and returns to Italy (where he was governor of the Bank of Italy between 2006-2011) and becomes the country’s president.

Shinzo Abe and Haruhiko Kuroda Resign: Kuroda, an advocate of looser monetary policy, stays on at the Bank of Japan (for most of the year), but the yen enters freefall to 140 vs. the dollar and wage growth lags badly. Japanese people have had enough and, by year end, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and Haruhiko Kuroda are forced to resign.

The Fed Is Trapped: The Federal Reserve surprises the markets and hikes the federal funds rate in April 2015. A modest 25-basis-point rise in rates causes such global market turmoil that it is the only hike made all year. The Federal Reserve is now viewed by market participants as completely trapped, as an ah-ha-moment arrives in which there is limited policy flexibility to cope with a steepening downturn in the business cycle in late 2015/early 2016. Stated simply, the bull market in confidence in the Federal Reserve comes to an abrupt halt.

Malinvestment Becomes the It-Word in 2015: Steeped in denial of past mistakes and bathing in the buoyancy of liquidity and the elevation of stock prices in 2014, market participants come to the realization that the world’s central bankers in general, and the Fed in particular, once again has taken us down an all-too-familiar and dangerous path that previously set the stage for The Great Decession of 2007-09. It becomes clear that the consequences of unprecedented monetary easing and the repression of interest rates has only invited unproductive investment and speculative carry trades. The impact of a lengthy period of depressed interest rates uncork malinvestment that has percolated and detonates among differing asset classes as the year progresses. Already seen in the deterioration and heightened volatility in commodities (the price of crude, copper, etc.), in widening spreads in the energy high yield (with yields up to 10% today, compared with only 5% a few months ago) and with the average yield on the SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) up to 7% (from a low of 5% earlier in 2014), the consequences of financial engineering (zero-interest-rate policy and quantitative easing) and lack of attention to burgeoning country debt loads and central bankers’ balance sheets, in addition to inertia on the fiscal front result in rising volatility in the currency markets. Malinvestment in countries like Brazil (where consumer debt has risen by 8x and export accounts have quintupled over the last eight years on the strength of a peaking export boom, in oil and iron ore, so dependent on the China infrastructure story that has now ended) translate into a deepening economic crisis in Latin America and in other emerging markets.

Then, EU sovereign debt yields, suppressed so long by Draghi’s jawboning, begin to rise. Slowly at first and then more rapidly, EU bond prices fall, putting intense pressure on the entire European banking system. (In his greatest score, George Soros makes $2.5 billion shorting German Bunds). The contagion spreads to other region’s financial institutions. Shortly after, social media and high valuation stocks get routed and, ultimately, so does the world’s stock markets.

As a result of the influences above, the VIX rises above 30. The price of gold soars to $1,800-to-$2000 and the precious metal is the best-performing asset class for all of 2015.

Strategy: Buy (GLD) and (VIX.X) , Short (SPY) , (QQQ) and German Bunds


we export inflation and import real stuff paid for with fake stuff (handshakes with our fingers crossed). And the more we want, the more we get. Unreal.

Posted by Richard640 @ 13:39 on January 3, 2015  

I never buy at the bottom and I always sell too soon. -Baron Rothschild

Man is a credulous animal, and must believe something; in the absence of good grounds for belief, he will be satisfied with bad ones. -Bertrand Russell

From Pailin’s blog over tub TF Metals Report=

We really are blessed in America. Not just because we have the World’s Reserve Currency. Not just because we have the most powerful (evil?) Central Bank of them all. But because everybody else -in power- goes along with this, and when push comes to shove, we export inflation and import real stuff paid for with fake stuff (handshakes with our fingers crossed). And the more we want, the more we get. Unreal. Feel for your brothers by another currency in this New Year. They don’t even have a choice in this.

EUR (again)

So our friends in the EU…they’re working just as hard today as they did last year and the year before (assuming they were and are employed 🙂 but…they just get paid less in dollars. Something to think about.

EUR is now under 2012 bottom and may be playing with the 2010 bottom of 118.7 soon. Hooboy.

Remember there was a grassroots move afoot (barely, mind you) to be paid in real money, you know…gold and/or silver? It didn’t really go farther than basic barter economy stuff (so off-book black market which can and will get you in trouble with the IRS! Cuz guess what? Swapping rounds for a milking cow, a tractor, or acreage…ain’t “in kind” 🙂 But imagine that movement did gain ground, at least enough that potential employers (and their HR donkeys) didn’t laugh you right back to the unemployment line?

So…like our poor friends in the EU…if you took a new job in late 2010 or early 2011…imagine being the smartest guy in the room and demanding your salary be denominated in ounces. Awesome yeah. Till you paid taxes on those “earnings” the following year. And had to sell some “salary ounces” to buy dollars to pay your taxes (the only way you can do it, buddy 🙂 But even worse…today, if you still had the same job and salary (or thereabouts) without any re-negotiation of terms, you’d still be getting paid in ounces and, aside from recent moves in gasoline prices, be facing record price inflation! Since the goods we regularly buy, the bills we regularly pay, are all denominated in dollars, you’d have to convert something out of every paycheck to make your monthly nut…or be really good at selling the highs and living below your means:) Sucks. Just like our EU, UK, and Russian friends. Something to think about. For sure 🙂


Shut Up Officer

Posted by WANKA @ 12:48 on January 3, 2015  


Guest Post by Karl Denninger

“With the increasing number of ambush-style attacks against our officers, I am deeply concerned that a growing anti-government sentiment in America is influencing weak-minded individuals to launch violent assaults against the men and women working to enforce our laws and keep our nation safe,” said Craig Floyd, chairman and CEO of the memorial fund.

“Enough is enough,” he said in a statement. “We need to tone down the rhetoric and rally in support of law enforcement and against lawlessness.”

Bite me Craig.

Here are the facts. There were 126 on-duty deaths reported among all officers in 2014. There are approximately 1 million sworn officers between federal, state, county and local government entities (and another couple of million employees who are not sworn; that is, they are not officers and do not have arrest powers, such as dispatchers and clerks.)

This is a rate of fatality of 12.6 per 100,000. Sounds bad, right?


If you’re a logger, you have a fatality rate ten times that of a cop.

A fisherman? Almost time times — 117 per 100,000.

A pilot? 53.4 per 100,000. Yes, really — it’s about four times as dangerous to fly a plane or chopper than be a cop.

The guy who puts your roof on? 40.5 per 100,000 — about three times as dangerous.

How about iron workers — you know, the guys who put up the buildings you work in? Yeah, those dudes. Three times the risk of a cop in dying, most from falls, being crushed by heavy materials or welding accidents.

Your garbage man has a risk of death twice that of a cop. Why? He gets hit by cars or crushed by heavy equipment (yes, it would suck to get caught in that trash compactor in the garbage truck!)

How about the lineman that repairs your power lines? Slightly less than double the risk of a cop, and of course the means by which they die are falls and electrocution, mostly.

Truck drivers? Close to double the risk, most from traffic accidents.

Farmers? Same risk, roughly; getting caught in a combine is a ****ty way to die.

Or you could just be a construction laborer. Your risk in that profession is materially higher than that of a cop (17.3 .vs. 12.6) as well but nobody cheers for you. Never mind that without said laborers you wouldn’t have a house or an office to work in.

So let’s cut the crap, eh? Being a cop isn’t particularly dangerous as occupations go.

Sworn officers are in fact officers of the court. Lying is unacceptable among both them and any organization that represents them. That means this butt-clown as well as the Patrolmen’s Benevolent Association in NYC and Patrick Lynch, their President. Pathological liars are worthy of the middle finger, not respect, no matter who they are.

Further, these organizations are not going to get any sympathy from me as long as we have cops arresting anyone for “DUI” when they choose to sleep off their alcohol in a parking lot rather than drive, nor are you going to get to claim “valor” without a loud pushback from people like myself as long as there is even one cop who reaches a settlement for his alleged attempt to create pornography with the intended target being solicited as a means to void an alcohol possession citation. That’s official corruption and if I pulled something like that I’d be prosecuted instead of being able to slough off the “settlement” on the taxpayers of the town.

Then there’s this sort of corruption:

It’s not a slowdown — it’s a virtual work stoppage.

NYPD traffic tickets and summonses for minor offenses have dropped off by a staggering 94 percent following the execution of two cops — as officers feel betrayed by the mayor and fear for their safety, The Post has learned.

So either 94% of the stops and summonses were never justified in the first place, in which case the entire NYPD is nothing more than a band of felons committing armed robbery by the tens of thousands a week or this “action” constitutes acting as an accessory to crime after the fact.

Either way these are not cops they’re crooks. In either case every single one of these “officers” deserves to be arrested and thrown into prison for decades; odds are it’s the first of the two possibilities, by the way, which means that this “action” is as close as you’re going to get to an admission of tens of thousands of armed robberies committed by the cops each and every week.

If law enforcement officers want respect they can start by deserving it and that means cutting the crap — including false claims of “outrageously dangerous” working conditions that in fact are less hazardous on a statistical basis than the guy who picks my household trash, an immediate and complete cessation of false arrests on bogus charges and full prosecution of each and every member of such an agency who is alleged to have abused someone in the line of their duties.

Let me know when that happens and at that point my middle finger will be retracted — but not one second before.



Richard 640 @6:14 ARMSTRONG

Posted by Samb @ 12:02 on January 3, 2015  

I sure have my doubts and when he posts a photo with himself next to Lady Thatcher….Well, he really does look like a grease ball. Then again, EEOS swears by him, lol.

good morning all oasis…and now for something completely different.

Posted by WANKA @ 11:29 on January 3, 2015  


Ackerman’s Gold prediction for 2015

Posted by larryc @ 10:15 on January 3, 2015  

$810 to $2,300.  I agree.  I think he nailed it!

Posted by Auandag @ 10:07 on January 3, 2015  

Judge Jeanine Slams De Blasio: ‘You’re a Coward With Blood on Your Shoes’




Macroman3 @ 0:38…Maya

Posted by Moggy @ 9:17 on January 3, 2015  

@ Macroman3…Hallelujah, I love that song!!!  I was a dog woman most of my life (preferring Basset hounds) until six pussycats came out of the woods one day, adopted me, and now I’m a cat woman.  Their intelligence is exceptional, especially those with Siamese blood, such as my Mr. Puppy…so named because I had been on my way to Basset Rescue when the kitties showed up and I knew I wouldn’t be getting a doggie.

@ Maya…good to know and a Happy New Year to you, as well as everyone here.

Cat dubs dog Sir loin of beef

Armstrong is just a run of the mill crank urban intellectual

Posted by Richard640 @ 6:13 on January 3, 2015  

If he really knew anything he’d be wealthy & managing his and/or other peoples money–not selling advice–what is his main “con”??

Very simple-like many others, he represents himself as being the only one with the correct unique insight–his “sleight of hand” for the assembled yokels and gawkers standing around his shell game folding card table, is to contrive “abstruse grand theories” of economics explaining how markets work…yup! It’s as simple as that…just like the Wizard of Oz….


Maya, that Farmfrog didn’t even hop with Equisetum’s Gold Toad.

Posted by macroman3 @ 2:14 on January 3, 2015  

Methinks the AuGirl really did him back to Kansas with his Gold Toto


Posted by Maya @ 1:39 on January 3, 2015  

I can testify that Moggy has been around… other places, by other names… way back.

So where is all that “mighty fine wine”… Jeremiah?

Moggy @ 14:22

Posted by Maya @ 1:36 on January 3, 2015  

Thank you for the Astro insights, Dear Lady.  You know some of us do appreciate them.  Happy New Year!



Auandag, 18:15, should be fairly easy to souce out…get wanka on the snopes angle

Posted by macroman3 @ 0:53 on January 3, 2015  

Yup, ready for a Truman Matrix alias. Or Ant Farm. That was Orwell’s sequel to Animal Farm.

Here’s to a happy lady (but I don’t recognize the handle from days of yore)

Posted by macroman3 @ 0:38 on January 3, 2015  

Kinda funny, I’m a dog man, you a cat lady…

Oh and that Jerimiah, he went by Farmboy at one time

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Post by the Golden Rule. Oasis not responsible for content/accuracy of posts. DYODD.