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Bad Omen for Markets From First Signs of Yield Curve Inversion

Posted by Mr.Copper @ 21:13 on April 8, 2018  
April 8, 2018, 6:44 PM EDT
  • Forward curve for 1 month overnight indexed swap rate inverts
  • Fed policy mistake possibly being priced into market: JPMorgan
  • The forward curve of a closely watched proxy for the Federal Reserve’s policy rate has slightly inverted, signaling investors are either pricing in a mistake from central bankers or end-of-cycle dynamics, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.
The inversion of the one-month U.S. overnight indexed swap rate implies some expectation of a lower Fed policy rate after the first quarter of 2020, the bank’s strategists including Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, wrote in a note Friday.
“An inversion at the front end of the U.S. curve is a significant market development, not least because it occurs rather rarely,” they said. “It is also generally perceived as a bad omen for risky markets.”

The negative market signal comes as investors grapple with higher short term borrowing costs, which have risen in the U.S. to levels unseen since the financial crisis. While the strategists admit it is difficult to discern which of the two explanations for the curve inversion carries more weight, flow data suggests it is more likely to be rising expectations of a Fed policy mistake.

Trade War, Hot War, Cold war, No War

Posted by Buygold @ 20:31 on April 8, 2018  

always the same result…

24 hr gold chart

In a bear [phase] market futures always are UP after a weekend, showing lack of fear/concern–then sell off…

Posted by Richard640 @ 18:33 on April 8, 2018  

In a bull mkt, they open down–cause of worry– and are quickly bought…I “seen” futures on Bloomberg– just opened at 6pm–and DOW futures were up as high as 97 pts…S&P 10.5–we’ll see how they are later when Asia is open and in the morning

Erik Hadik’s short term gold forecast

Posted by overton @ 18:11 on April 8, 2018  

still rounding bottom……….gold moves up q3 &q4………………………..42 mins in

Celente & Hoye on the beginning….Ed Steer has a piece up on the market comments side




Kudlow on FOX News Sunday with Chris Wallace

Posted by Buygold @ 15:23 on April 8, 2018  

“It’s all good, no trade war with China”

No doubt trying to stem the 1000 pt. decline in the DOW tomorrow…

They better get someone positive out on the false flag Syria chemical attack this afternoon though


Posted by Buygold @ 11:11 on April 8, 2018  

Maybe he’s just crapping his pants about what the market will do on monday.

Yeah, maybe it’s cover for the financial terror yet to come.

Can’t believe we let these psychopaths run our country.

BUYGOLD–A reader comment

Posted by Richard640 @ 10:55 on April 8, 2018  

BigFatUglyBubble tmosley Sun, 04/08/2018 – 10:46 Permalink

Does he think he’s a twitter wizard?  “Alakazam, so it is tweeted, let my will be done.”

“These are not the tariffs you are looking for” – *Obe Wan TrumpNobi waves hand in front of Xi’s face*

Maybe he’s just crapping his pants about what the market will do on monday.

live by the bubble, die by the bubble
The Donald Nailed It: ‘We Are in a Big, Fat, Ugly Bubble’ – Sept 2016
Trump on Dow 20,000: ‘Now we have to go up, up, up’ – Jan 2017

“We have the greatest economy, maybe ever in history. The greatest economy we have ever had” – D.J.Trump March 2018


Posted by treefrog @ 10:49 on April 8, 2018  

“chemical attack” has “false flag” written all over it in big red, white, and blue letters.


this particular little boy has cried “WOLF!” too many times.


CIA?  MOSSAD?  MI5?  all of the above?



Neocons won’t stop – another CIA/Mossad/MI6 false flag

Posted by Buygold @ 10:23 on April 8, 2018  

Trump Threatens Putin, “Animal Assad” Over Syrian “Chemical Attack”; Russia Warns Of “Grave” Response If US Launches Strike

It’s deja vu all over again.

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Post by the Golden Rule. Oasis not responsible for content/accuracy of posts. DYODD.