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@Buygold re Fed possible surprise early end to interest rate hikes

Posted by Mr.Copper @ 19:20 on June 10, 2018  

It would be no surprise to me, because I figured they raised the rates only so they have some room to DROP them to stimulate or head wind the next slowdown that I think already started but not obvious or in the news yet.

Note 10 year bond chart below. All I see are higher lows. Falling rates. Every rally in the bond chart is a drop in rates. Every drop in the bond chart has been a temporary bounce in interest rates on the way down.

The high points on the chart (2012 and 2016) reflect 1.5%. The mid 2016 Drop in the chart (higher rates to 3%) was imo an artificial Trump Effect move. A mistake. Abnormal.

I’m assuming the Trump Effect is wearing off, and the REAL prosperity will come much later. After a transition period. WITHDRAWAL, PAIN, from a 50 year long very bad habit, Globalization, importing more than exporting since 1970. Culminating in the 2008 crash.

https://www.mrci.com/pdf/ty.pdf

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Post by the Golden Rule. Oasis not responsible for content/accuracy of posts. DYODD.