Loading ...it looks like this one is going to be in the “wet” category.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/093811.shtml?rainqpf#contents
treefrog manor is in the yellow stripe to the right of the projected path, anticipating 4 – 6 inches of rain.
all this is predicated on the meteorologist – geeks best guesses. i have noticed that they have gotten pretty good at their art with the modern improvements in technology. pretty good, but still a couple notches short of perfect.
the biggest uncertainty is the timing of the right turn in the storm path that all the models are anticipating sometime in the next 24 – 36 hours. if the turn happens sooner (and/or sharper) the impact on treefrog manor becomes more intense. if later (and/or softer) it’s less intense.
it’s still something of a crap shoot.
edit: i just checked the latest advisory and it looks like the projection is shifting slightly west (away from treefrog manor) and wind speed is up to 110 mph. this one is a full – grown hurricane. it WILL chew things up when/where it comes ashore.