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From the Campbell Real Estate. News letter

Posted by Richard640 @ 22:29 on September 12, 2019  

Recession Looming with Unemployment So Low?

How could a recession be on the horizon with the U.S. unemployment rate (3.7%) at a 50 year low?

What most people don’t realize is thatthe unemployment rate is a lagging economic indicatorand not a leading indicator like the yield curve.

As the chart to the right shows, the unemployment rate has always been near its trough when recessions startand near their peak when recessions end.

In short, just like I don’t use laggingindicators to time real estate markets, you cant forecast economic turning points using lagging economic indicators either

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Post by the Golden Rule. Oasis not responsible for content/accuracy of posts. DYODD.