OASIS FORUM Post by the Golden Rule. GoldTent Oasis is not responsible for content or accuracy of posts. DYODD.

OK, I am just talking to myself: CoT

Posted by Samb @ 20:54 on September 14, 2019  

The CoT  report that is given out to the public is NOT the original compiled report. It has been altered and only the Banksters/Major Players & CEM  have the original. That is the reason for the 3 day delay. You are seeing what they want you to see which, is different from what they originally reported. There is the original CoT 1 and the phony public  Cot 2 report all compiled  2 days apart.

The Banksters, et al. submit their data…CEM compiles it and does NOT submit it to the public.  Rather they send it back to the Banksters for the initial report review and editing…read change the submitted data at will. If the original data was accurate there would be no need to change it, especially after only 1 day of having submitted it. Since the original data and the revised data are at variance then nothing officially must be said or challenged or audited. There is your Rig and the reason for the 3 day delay.


Posted by ipso facto @ 20:37 on September 14, 2019  

In the light of these new devastating attacks on their oil industry perhaps the Saudis will decide the Yemen war is too expensive and negotiate an end.

Poll Results

Posted by ipso facto @ 20:35 on September 14, 2019  

Regarding Iran’s oil sales

They should be allowed to sell oil without conditions (62%, 26 Votes)

They should not be allowed to sell oil under any conditions (21%, 9 Votes)

They should be allowed to sell oil if they sign a new tighter nuclear agreement (12%, 5 Votes)

They should be allowed to sell oil if they adhere to the first nuclear agreement (5%, 2 Votes)

Total Voters: 42

Maddog, R6

Posted by Buygold @ 19:49 on September 14, 2019  

Maddog – I must strongly disagree! Oil will be up and gold will be down on this news! That’s what we’ve seen for the last couple of decades! 🙂

War and higher oil prices are bad for gold, don’t you remember? 🙂

Newmont says Red Lake mine sale underway

Posted by ipso facto @ 19:38 on September 14, 2019  

Newmont says Red Lake mine sale underway

Have all our famous CoT Analysts & Newsletters been reviewing:

Posted by Samb @ 19:03 on September 14, 2019  

A false set of books!  (Clue here… yet seems scant interest)  Posted all this many years ago and yet the scam still goes on. Imagine analyzing Enron back then when your data points were based upon a phony set of books.


Posted by Maddog @ 18:00 on September 14, 2019  

How many times have we been here…Au will be down, oil will be down and the SM well up…within minutes of Sunday night.

Don’t Be Another Wall Street Chump

Posted by Richard640 @ 17:55 on September 14, 2019  

Hows come we’re not getting. excited by. this? Now they blame Iran–so. war tensions are. back–gold spike? Crude spike. sunday nite?

Posted by Richard640 @ 17:46 on September 14, 2019  



Oil To Hit $100? Pompeo Accuses Iran Of “Unprecedented” Drone Attack That Crippled Largest Saudi Oil Processing Facility

Saudi Aramco describes the Buqyaq facility as “the largest crude oil stabilization plant in the world.”

Update 2: In a sharp, if perhaps not unexpected, escalation, US Secretary of State – now without John Bolton by his side – tweeted at 4pm on Saturday, that contrary to earlier reports,  This could  which has now indefinitely taken offline as much as 5mmb/d in Saudi crude production.

In a follow up tweet, Pompeo said that he calls “on all nations to publicly and unequivocally condemn Iran’s attacks” which is odd as not even Saudi Arabia accused Iran of today’s aggression (which many speculated could have been a Saudi false flag in hopes of sending the price of oil soaring ahead of the Aramco IPO). Pompeo concluded that “the United States will work with our partners and allies to ensure that energy markets remain well supplied and Iran is held accountable for its aggression.”

Will this pivot away from Houthis to Iran as the “origin” of the attack be sufficient grounds to re-inflame tensions between the US and Iran, especially following last week’s news that one of the reasons Bolton was fired was due to his hard-line stance on Iran even as Trump was willing to sit down with the Tehran regime for negotiations. Since the deep state stands to make much more money from war rather than peace, our guess is that the answer is a resounding “yes.”

Likely not an empty threat

Posted by ipso facto @ 16:49 on September 14, 2019  

Israeli Attacks On Syria Halted After Russia Threatened To Shoot Down Jets

According to reports in both Israeli and Arabic regional media, Israel this past week was preparing to expand major airstrikes against “Iran-backed” targets in Syria, but Moscow imposed its red line. The Independent has published a story describing that Russia’s military in Syria threatened to shoot down any invading Israeli warplanes using fighter jets or their S-400 system.

The Jerusalem Post, citing sources in the UK Independent (Arabia), writes just after the latest meeting in Sochi between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Russian President Vladimir Putin:

According to the report, Moscow has prevented three Israeli airstrikes on three Syrian outposts recently, and even threatened that any jets attempting such a thing would be shot down, either by Russian jets or by the S400 Anti-aircraft missiles. The source cited in the report claims a similar situation has happened twice, and that during August, Moscow stopped an airstrike on a Syrian outpost in Qasioun, where a S300 missile battery is placed.

Netanyahu’s hasty trip to meet with Putin on Thursday – even in the final days before Tuesday’s key election – was reportedly with a goal to press the Russian president on essentially ignoring Israel’s attacks in Syria.


Ah, the famous CoT reports

Posted by Samb @ 14:05 on September 14, 2019  

I see a good many analysts use it/ reference it to justify their latest positioning. Every now and then some will complain about the notorious 3 day lag time for its public release. 3 days…really! in this day and age?? Yup. But, why the 3 day lag?  ANYBODY? I know the answer but, if I told you why (yes, it’s rigged) I wonder if you would believe me.

Thanks R6 – I follow

Posted by Buygold @ 13:26 on September 14, 2019  

I guess if there’s a time to take a shot it would be now. I agree with you that the China trade news – especially good – appears to be losing its rally impact on the SM, although the SM just seems to grind higher no matter what.

It feels like it’s been an awful long time since we’ve had a meaningful selloff – 10% or more. Almost as if an algo save comes in every 2-3% down to save everything. If the SM goes then it appears everything goes with it, economy, housing, etc. so the PPT just can’t let it go no matter what.

You and I are old enough to remember nasty corrections, I just haven’t seen any since 08-09′.

Nonetheless, I wouldn’t bet against you. I don’t think the Fed will cut .50 on Wednesday, but any cut might just be a selling opportunity in the SM and if they only cut .25, the SM could really punish them. Who knows?

This strongly suggests that the COT can be effectively used as a guide for speculators as the legend has long claimed, but that it should not be fully relied upon.

Posted by Richard640 @ 13:12 on September 14, 2019  

Towards Data Science

Sharing concepts, ideas, and codes.

Buygold=Remember-about 6 weeks ago I started messing with DUST? Same. deal now with. looking for

Posted by Richard640 @ 10:09 on September 14, 2019  

an opportune time  to take some stabs selling stock indexes…not sure if I’m gonna…but this couldn’t. be a more classic. set. up=

It’s the time. of the year

A. 10 yr bull mkt–possible triple top

also a “buy. the rumor sell the news” set up. with the China-Europe [&. others] tariff/trade issue

on the bull side. is free money, don’t fight. the FED. and the Prez doing all he can to support stocks

I wouldn’t need a 2008 crash…a. 20%. sell off like in late. 2018 would  do the trick–after all, even the bulls, are preying for a. “healthy” correction before the next moon shot to 35K DOW….so that they could “scoop up bargains”…LOL


Posted by Buygold @ 8:49 on September 14, 2019  

So…if I’m reading you right, I get the sense that you think this third attempt at a new high in the stock market is probably going to fail?

It’s a big call but if you hit it right you make some serious bank, especially given the time of year.


Posted by Buygold @ 8:38 on September 14, 2019  

Looks like a round trip back to $16 – just hoping it stops there.


I’ll be keeping an eye on SDOW-QID and other. SPX & NAZ bear etfs-

Posted by Richard640 @ 8:36 on September 14, 2019  


ProShares Trust – UltraPro Short Dow 30 .

SDOW’s third split took place on May 24, 2019. This was a 1 for 4 reverse split, meaning for each 4 shares of SDOW owned pre-split, the shareholder now owned 1 share. For example, a 62.5 share position pre-split, became a 15.625 share position following the split. 


ProShares Trust – UltraShort QQQ ETF (QID) has 3 splits in our QID split history database. . 

QID’s third split took place on May 24, 2018. This was a 1 for 4 reverse split, meaning for each 4 shares of QID owned pre-split, the shareholder now owned 1 share. For example, a 50 share position pre-split, became a 12.5 share position following the split.

but wait, there’s more!

Posted by Buygold @ 8:35 on September 14, 2019  

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Tidbits from Dad

Posted by Buygold @ 8:29 on September 14, 2019  


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Sven’s a good ole boy

Posted by Richard640 @ 8:18 on September 14, 2019  
 Sven Henrich. @ Northman Trader 16h
September 18, 2007. Fed cuts rates by 50bp from 525bp to 475bp
$SPX peaks 3 weeks later on October 11, 2007 not bottoming until March 6, 2009 at
666.79. Next week FOMC announces their next decision on September 18, 2019.


Silver Train

Posted by Maya @ 1:13 on September 14, 2019  


The westbound Empire Builder rolls
thru Portage with track orders.


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Post by the Golden Rule. Oasis not responsible for content/accuracy of posts. DYODD.