I am praying that his absence is simply due to a storm zapping cable or electricity service . Remember that his Shortwave antenna drew a lightning strike recently , so a weather system may still be lingering around the Islands .
Buygold 14:18
I was wondering where you got the Fed thing was today?
I’m not watching the stocks much but did check that. My daughter’s back in the hospital again, for surgery on deep tissue injury from the accident. I kept her up on the election then gave her a link to watch Trump victory speech thanking everyone and going to make good on his promises to the people.
I hope Maya’s okay.
No wonder we’re not seeing any impact
Fed announcement takes place tomorrow, in an odd switch because of the election.
Metals have kind of been in a small range after things settled after the ludicrous open. They stole a lot of money from people in the shares this am, at least anyone who sold.
We’ll see if Tavi Costa has a beat on things. I don’t know how the Fed gets rates down at this point and what does the dollar fall against? Bitcoin is the save all I guess. Oil came back nicely.
Otavio Costa
Otavio (Tavi) Costa
@TaviCosta
I would argue this is the most important technical chart right now.
The dollar index is currently at a critical juncture, retesting two major resistance levels simultaneously.
Compelling macroeconomic factors suggest this index is nearing a historic peak, as the Fed faces the dilemma of needing to reduce interest rates faster than other central banks to address the rising debt-servicing burden, even amid persistent inflation.
I certainly share this view.
EXK & SSRM
Notice they’re up a little. Not sure how that happens. KGC not down after they ran stops this morning. Just ridiculous.
aurum – concur
Assuming we’re right in thinking that the Fed actually wants to save the economy now that Trump has been elected.
Only caveat, although it seems to me that they’ll have to at least give the appearance that they do.
TLT
I have kept my TLT position, though I could have exited with a small or no loss with the rally before this down leg.
If it is true that there was massive buying of TLT around the rate cut announcement, think how many bonds the etf must have bought and yet the rates rocketed. Very interesting.
But I think the fed will have to buy the market soon or the rates will crater a lot of businesses and also to show they have not lost control.
It did cross my mind that they have decided the wanton government spending has to stop, and high borrowing costs may put the brakes on. Who knows?
aurum
Deer79, Ipso, aurum
Deer79 – concur, although after the huge shakeup at the open, we’ve leveled off a bit. Last time I looked your two little guys Eloro and Lion were up.
Ipso – agree with all your posts this morning. Especially all those threatening to leave can GTFO
aurum – good call. Hopefully it’s the bottom.
Regardless, and lost in the euphoria today is the Fed meeting and the bond market. Bonds have been a one way ticket down for awhile now, and moving pretty quickly. The buyers in the last couple of auctions are underwater. How long can the Fed/Treasury keep offloading these things on the backs of the big banks? Then there’s the repo issue and I’m sure this is helping to speed up the need for more cash.
When all of this unwinds, I would expect the dollar to crater, although with all the trash fiat in Europe and Japan, who knows? Maybe the Swiss franc is the best alternative?
Alistair MacLeod predicted the PM waterfall , that would bounce
Gold is already upside of the worst numbers ,
Buygold
I knew at about what area GDX would open (see chart below), and figured that many stops would be run at the open. That is why I posted when I did, so those with hard stops could reset them or cancel for a few days.
aurum
When the federal money spigot directed towards illegals dries up
then the burden of supporting them is going to be shifted towards the “sanctuary” cities and states who welcomed them … to the detriment of local budgets … fire, police, infrastructure, etc. This is going to cause a weakening of support for all the woke politicians running the blue states. Look at NYC already.
Buygold
“TSLA soaring up 12% – good for Elon! He deserves it, and really risked a lot for the good of the country. A true patriot along with RFK Jr., Tulsi, Ramaswamy, Tucker, Russell Brand, JD Vance, Gen. Flynn, and many more.”
I’m excited to see who Trump puts in his cabinet! Look at all that talent! Outstanding!
To any celebrities who said they’d quit the country if Trump won
We expect you to fulfill your pledge. We don’t want you here.
Buygold
Agreed……this is ridiculous.
Perhaps we’ll finally start to see a pickup in merger/buyout activity in the mining industry because of these egregious
mispricings of so many of the miners!!!!
Geesh – panic selling in the paper markets
Frankly, this is a load of crap. Hopefully when the Fed announces things change a bit, but this is overkill, and the shares are getting obliterated premarket.
aurum – guaranteed the GDX will take out $38 probably at the open. Just hope it doesn’t close below it.
KGC had great earning last night, down 6%
GDX
The low 38’s are an important area. Lower bollinger band and 100 day simple moving average.
Maddog
I would love to see that but they have this attitude it’s fascist if they go after their opponent. It has nothing to do with their opponent that turned around and did that to him and his associates.The media crazies were already calling to go after Musk and destroy his businesses if Harris wins.
They’re already talking about asking Trump to pardon Biden and Hunter. That’s the problem with many of the Republicans of before, they are reactive not proactive. They did do a lot of work preparing for this election but with their interest in mind too. They can’t bring back the victims of their open borders. Not to mention the thousands of children they lost. The people the left and lost in Afghanistan. The deaths in Russia and Ukraine or the Mid East.
Biden will likely Pardon Hunter. Trump should immediately pardon the political prisoners of Jan 6 th of 4 years when he takes office, political prisoners who are badly treated in that dungeon by Pelosi and not getting the medical care they need either. Then pardon himself from their bogus accusations so they can’t bother him or his family later.
There should be a lot of investigations going on. Like you say if nothings done they’ll do it again and why I hope they put laws down to prevent as much of it from happening again.
Gold
80 bucks down and counting
wheres the bottom?
Dog
Congratulations to the American people for making the right choice!
… and a special thanks to the arrogant, foolish Democratic leadership who thought they could impose a certified cackling moron to be president of the USA!
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