OASIS FORUM Post by the Golden Rule. GoldTent Oasis is not responsible for content or accuracy of posts. DYODD.

NEM

Posted by deer79 @ 16:26 on February 19, 2026  

Haven’t seen the complete release of quarterly earnings, but did see that they beat quarterly earnings ( $2.048 expected, $2.52 actual). Free cash flow for 2025 was a record $7.3 billion, and they increased their dividend (.26 from .25).

 

Stock is up roughly $1.00 in after hours….

eeos

Posted by Maddog @ 15:53 on February 19, 2026  

I have never heard a sane argument for such levels of immigration, or even a fraction of current levels…..as to some of the people ie muzzies…just plain madness…..still at least people are waking up fast to the dangers.

Oxxy beats big and explodes…..lucky it’s not a PM stock

Posted by Maddog @ 15:45 on February 19, 2026  

oxxy

Maddog

Posted by eeos @ 15:32 on February 19, 2026  

Why did UK make the choice to allow so many Muslim immigrants into the country? It’s really strange and I feel like the powers that be love shuffling all these morons around the world when really Muslim countries should be opening their doors and welcoming these people in, because they definitely don’t want to assimilate or be any part of Western society, so I’d like to tell them to GTFO! I think the sympathizing Communist Democratic Party of fools in this country just wants to let all these clowns in. I don’t wanna hear a muzzie prayer being chanted on loud speakers in New York City, get out!

Shamefull

Posted by Maddog @ 14:46 on February 19, 2026  

UK may not allow US to use its bases to attack Iran over possible int’l law violations

https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/world/uk-may-not-allow-us-to-use-its-bases-to-attack-iran-over-possible-int-l-law-violations/ar-AA1WGJB0

Captain Hook

Posted by Maddog @ 14:24 on February 19, 2026  

No -one wants a war, least of all between the US , China and Russia…..if that was truly likely the price of Gold would be flying higher, as would Oil.

Plus the people of Iran are desperate to throw the Regime out.

Epstein kept a secret garden of toxic plants that turn people into ‘zombies,’ emails show

Posted by ipso facto @ 14:01 on February 19, 2026  

In an email dated March 3, 2014, sent to an individual identified as Ann Rodriguez, Epstein wrote, ‘ask chris about my trumpet plants at nursery [SIC]?,’ a line that may indicate he had Angel’s Trumpet plants.

Also known as ‘Devil’s Breath,’ the flowering shrub contains scopolamine, a potent psychoactive compound that can cause serious effects on the nervous system.

In a separate email dated January 27, 2015, apparently forwarded by a photographer, a message addressed to Epstein carried the subject line: ‘Scopolamine: Powerful drug growing in the forests of Colombia that ELIMINATES free will | Daily Mail Online.’

The article, which included reporting by VICE, featured interviews with alleged drug dealers describing the substance’s effects. One interviewee claimed the drug could render victims compliant, saying: ‘You can guide them wherever you want. It’s like they’re a child.’

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-15574197/jeffrey-epstein-emails-trumpet-plants.html

So

Posted by Buygold @ 13:44 on February 19, 2026  

The metals go from great to crap but the shares kind of hang in there. Go figure.

aufever – just think, the next generation gets a one world government (for only a few years) that is going to be a combination of all those things, imagine what a joy that’s going to be. The one world religion will be a beautiful combo of Islam, Catholicism, Hinduism, etc and you’ll worship as such or get your head chopped off.😂

I don’t know which is worse

Posted by aufever @ 13:08 on February 19, 2026  

Islamism (Sharia law)
Communism
Marxism
Nazism
Globalism
Wokeism
Socialism
Zionism

Obviously, some are related.

Iran was a beautiful, prosperous country a few decades ago.

I may have left out a couple.
Like the U.S. Congress.
And Liberalism – which is a shame it became so twisted, because to be liberal used to be a good thing. It meant liberty and generosity.

They all need to be rooted out and destroyed.

It takes a State with a set of balls to overcome the commies … and Kansas is that kind of State

Posted by Captain Hook @ 12:48 on February 19, 2026  

Kansas GOP OVERRIDES Dem Gov. Laura Kelly’s Veto — Enacts Law that BANS MEN from WOMEN’S Restrooms, Defines Sex at Birth, Mandates Accurate Male/Female IDs | The Gateway Pundit | by Jim Hᴏft

I mean … how do these commies get elected? … how can people be so stupid … with Trump now under the spotlight … the left-wing commies think they have a shoo-in both this year and in 2028 … likely pushing for his impeachment right out of the gate in November.

People better get out there and vote for independents … or secede … or something … because this one party right-wing / left-wing commie crap circle-jerk is getting a little old … and dangerous … no?

Can you imagine the scams that are foisted on the American people the next Dem go-around.

Could be in the trillions (already is likely).

Spit

Too valuable to keep closed. I think Mali has damaged it’s suitability for large investments

Posted by ipso facto @ 12:28 on February 19, 2026  

Mali and Canadian miner reset ties over $900 million gold asset with 10-year deal

https://africa.businessinsider.com/local/markets/mali-and-canadian-miner-reset-ties-over-dollar900-million-gold-asset-with-10-year/c2et28t

Gold is a crowed trade according to B of A’s Hartnett … and even if this is true (not) … would indeed be completely rational … because they need a war and assets are being moved into place

Posted by Captain Hook @ 12:17 on February 19, 2026  

HIGHEST UNCERTAINTY LEVELS IN HISTORY: World Uncertainty Index Explodes Past COVID, GFC, & 9/11 on WW3 Fears, Iran Threatens U.S. Fleet, China & Russia Send Warships, Intel, & Hypersonic Missiles!

r/navy - Current scope of the build up of US military assets in and near the Middle East with more assets arriving daily and with the Ford CSG arriving within the next couple weeks

The world is holding its breath. In a stunning and direct threat to the United States, Iran’s Supreme Leader has threatened to sink two American aircraft carriers, the USS Abraham Lincoln and the USS Gerald R. Ford in retaliation to any first strike by the Americans.

This is not the usual rhetoric; it is a direct challenge backed by a formidable military buildup and, most chillingly, the explicit support of two other global superpowers; China and Russia.


As dozens of U.S. fighter jets streak towards the Middle East, China and Russia are deploying their own warships to the Strait of Hormuz for joint exercises with Iran, creating a powder keg scenario that has the world on a knife’s edge.



Amid the chaos, confusion, and conflicting reports of deals and deadlines, the “war premium” is back, and it’s about to get very, very real.


Here’s what you need to know;

  • HIGHEST UNCERTAINTY IN HISTORY: The World Uncertainty Index has reached 105,000; surpassing COVID-19, the Global Financial Crisis, 9/11, and the Dot Com Bubble. This is the highest level of global uncertainty ever recorded.
  • DIRECT THREAT: Iran’s Supreme Leader has issued a direct threat to sink two U.S. aircraft carriers, a dramatic escalation in rhetoric that has put the world on high alert.
  • AXIS OF RESISTANCE: In a terrifying development, China and Russia are deploying warships to the Strait of Hormuz for joint exercises with Iran, creating a direct challenge to the massive U.S. naval presence and raising the specter of a great power conflict.
  • U.S. MILITARY BUILDUP: The U.S. is surging airpower to the region, including F-35s, F-22s, and F-16s, in addition to the carrier strike groups already in place. This is the most significant military buildup in the region in years.
  • CHINA’S SHADOW WAR: Beijing is not a neutral party. It is reportedly providing Iran with critical intelligence on U.S. ship locations and has supplied a vast arsenal of military hardware, including advanced air defense and missile systems. Russia has allegedly supplied Iran with hypersonic missiles, a direct threat to U.S. carriers.
  • THE UNTHINKABLE: What happens if the U.S. loses or is forced into a humiliating stalemate? The dollar’s reserve status would collapse, the petrodollar would die, and the entire post-WWII global order would shatter. The Pentagon has run the simulations. The outcome is far from certain.
  • GOLD’S WAR PREMIUM: Historically, gold thrives in times of war and geopolitical crisis. The research is clear: major conflicts act as a powerful bullish catalyst for gold as investors flee to safety and governments print money to fund war efforts. The current situation is a textbook case for a major repricing of gold, even if gold first drops on the fear of war breaking out. It’s likely why we are now seeing $20,000 call options appearing!
    Image

Right now is the highest level of uncertainty in history as the World Uncertainty Index explodes past levels seen for COVID, GFC, & 9/11 on WW3 Fears. Iran threatens to sink the U.S. fleet, China & Russia send warships of their own to the region, along with intel, & hypersonic missiles. It is now a powder keg ready to explode!


Let’s Dig Into The Following:

  1. The highest level of uncertainty in human history is happening right now. The World Uncertainty Index, a GDP-weighted measure of global geopolitical and economic uncertainty, has exploded to 105,000; surpassing the COVID-19 pandemic, the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, the 9/11 attacks, and the Dot Com Bubble. Why the world is more uncertain about the future right now than at any point since data collection began in 1993 and the implications are staggering!
  2. The powder keg in the Strait of Hormuz is literally sitting on a knife’s edge. The situation is deteriorating at an alarming pace. What began as a tense negotiation over Iran’s nuclear program has devolved into a full-blown military standoff with global implications. The diplomatic off-ramps appear to be slim to closing. Why into this tinderbox, the United States is pouring gasoline!
  3. Iran is part of a broader Axis of Resistence that is building up. The situation has now escalated beyond a bilateral U.S.-Iran conflict. In a move that sends a chilling message to Washington, China and Russia have announced they will dispatch their own naval forces to the Strait of Hormuz to conduct joint military exercises with Iran. Why this is a direct challenge to the U.S. naval presence and creates a terrifyingly direct line to a potential great power confrontation that could lead to WW3!
  4. The highest levels of the U.S. government, including President Trump is now including in their war calculus; what happens if the U.S. doesn’t decisively win or worse…loses? Why the consequences would be immediate and catastrophic; not just militarily, but economically and geopolitically!
  5. And despite any initial drops in gold’s price over fears of a war, there IS a war premium that gets applied to gold. In times of extreme geopolitical stress, all traditional correlations break down, and capital flees to the one asset that has preserved wealth for 5,000 years: gold. The historical precedent is undeniable. I share a brief analysis of the major conflicts over the past 25+ years and how they reveals a clear pattern for gold. Why any initial downward move in gold will almost certaintly be followed by an explosive move higher!

So, let’s dig in…

The Highest Level of Uncertainty in Human History

Before we dive into the specifics of the Iran crisis, we need to understand the broader context. The world has just reached the highest level of uncertainty in recorded history.

The World Uncertainty Index, a GDP-weighted measure of global geopolitical and economic uncertainty, has exploded to 105,000; surpassing the COVID-19 pandemic, the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, the 9/11 attacks, and the Dot Com Bubble.

World Uncertainty Index Reaches Historical Highs

This is not hyperbole. This is quantifiable, measurable fear. The chart above shows a vertical spike in uncertainty that dwarfs every previous crisis.

The world is more uncertain about the future right now than at any point since data collection began in 1993. The implications are staggering.


In an environment of extreme uncertainty, capital does not flow to stocks, bonds, or speculative assets. It flows to true and timeless safety.


The Powder Keg in the Strait of Hormuz

The situation is deteriorating at an alarming pace. What began as a tense negotiation over Iran’s nuclear program has devolved into a full-blown military standoff with global implications.

The diplomatic off-ramps appear to be slim to closing. Iran has officially on again, off-again rejected the U.S. deal, declaring its missile and defense systems “not subject to negotiation.”

President Trump has issued a stark warning of his own, stating that if he were to be assassinated by Iran, he left instructions for the country to be “obliterated.” Watch HERE!


Into this tinderbox, the United States is pouring gasoline. A massive contingent of U.S. airpower is en route to the Middle East, joining the already formidable naval presence led by the USS Abraham Lincoln and USS Gerald R. Ford. We are witnessing a concentration of military force not seen in the region for years.


The Strait of Hormuz is not just another body of water. It is the jugular vein of the global economy. Approximately 21 million barrels of oil pass through this narrow, 21-mile-wide chokepoint every single day; roughly one-third of all seaborne-traded oil and nearly 30% of global liquefied natural gas.

Strait of Hormuz: What to know about Iran's control over vital oil trade route - News9.com

A single miscalculation, a single missile strike, a single sinking of a U.S. carrier in these waters would send shockwaves through every market on Earth.


  • Oil prices would explode.
  • Supply chains would collapse.
  • Inflation would surge.
  • And the Fed, already trapped by a cracking economy, would have no choice but to print.

The Straits of Hormuz is not just a military flashpoint; it is an economic doomsday device, and right now, the fuse is lit. But this is not a simple bilateral confrontation. The game has changed.


The Axis of Resistance and the WW3 Premium

The situation has now escalated beyond a bilateral U.S.-Iran conflict. In a move that sends a chilling message to Washington, China and Russia have announced they will dispatch their own naval forces to the Strait of Hormuz to conduct joint military exercises with Iran.


This is a direct challenge to the U.S. naval presence and creates a terrifyingly direct line to a potential great power confrontation.


The Straits of Hormuz, a chokepoint for a third of the world’s seaborne oil, is now a stage for a potential World War 3 scenario, with the U.S. carrier groups facing a coordinated axis of resistance.

This development changes the calculus entirely. The market is no longer pricing in a regional conflict; it is beginning to price in the unthinkable.

China is not a passive observer; it is an active participant, providing not only military hardware and diplomatic cover but also critical intelligence, reportedly using its spy ships to provide the U.S. carrier locations to Iran.

And, they have assets in the area that if they were harmed, it would likely drag them into a direct conflict against the U.S.


All of this also makes the massive U.S. fleet a sitting duck for Iran’s advanced missile capabilities, which now include Russian-supplied hypersonic weapons capable of striking and sinking U.S. carriers, without much defense against it.


The Unthinkable; What Happens if the U.S. Loses?

Let us speak plainly about the scenario that no one in Washington wants to publicly acknowledge:

  • What happens if the United States does not achieve a decisive, overwhelming victory in a conflict with Iran?
  • What happens if a U.S. carrier is sunk?
  • What happens if the combined military and intelligence capabilities of Iran, China, and Russia prove too formidable, and the U.S. is forced into a humiliating stalemate or, worse, a retreat?

The consequences would be immediate and catastrophic; not just militarily, but economically and geopolitically.


  • The global power structure that has existed since the end of World War II would shatter overnight.
  • U.S. hegemony, already under strain, would collapse.
  • The perception of American military invincibility; the very foundation upon which the dollar’s reserve currency status rests, would evaporate.
  • Allies would scramble to realign.
  • Adversaries would become emboldened.
  • The Middle East, Africa, Latin America, and even parts of Europe would pivot toward the new axis of power: Beijing and Moscow.

The economic implications would be even more severe. The U.S. dollar’s role as the global reserve currency is not backed by gold, or even by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government in any tangible sense.


It is backed by the perception of American power; military, economic, and political. A loss in the Straits of Hormuz would shatter that perception.


  • Central banks around the world, already diversifying into gold at record rates, would accelerate their de-dollarization efforts.
  • The petrodollar system, which has funneled global demand for dollars for five decades, would be dead.
  • Oil-producing nations would demand payment in yuan, rubles, or gold.
  • U.S. Treasury yields would spike as foreign buyers disappeared.
  • Inflation would explode as the dollar collapsed.
  • The Fed would be forced to print on a scale that would make 2020 look like a rounding error.

The Pentagon knows this. They have run the simulations. They understand that a conflict in the Straits of Hormuz, with China providing real-time intelligence and naval ships and Russia supplying advanced weaponry, is not the “shock and awe” campaign of 2003.


This is a peer adversary scenario, and the outcome is far from certain. The question is: Does President Trump understand the stakes? Is he willing to risk the entire architecture of American global power on a military gamble in the world’s most dangerous waters?


Or is this saber-rattling designed to extract concessions, knowing full well that the alternative; actual war, is too catastrophic to contemplate? Is this nothing more than another TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out) scenario in the end?

The market is beginning to ask these questions. And the answer, regardless of what it is, will ultimately be bullish for gold, despite any intial fear based price drops.

Gold’s Historical War Premium

In times of extreme geopolitical stress, all traditional correlations break down, and capital flees to the one asset that has preserved wealth for 5,000 years: gold. The historical precedent is undeniable. An analysis of major conflicts over the past 25+ years reveals a clear pattern:

  • Iraq War (2003-2011): Gold saw modest initial gains, followed by a multi-year super-cycle as the prolonged conflict fueled economic uncertainty and dollar weakness.
  • Russia-Ukraine War (2022): Gold surged immediately on the invasion, rocketing to near all-time highs as the world priced in the risk of a wider European conflict.
  • Israel-Hamas Conflict (2023): Gold broke decisively above $2,000 as the conflict began, with investors anticipating a broader regional escalation.

The reason is two-fold;

  • First is the classic safe-haven demand. As the risk of war rises, investors sell paper assets and buy physical gold. It’s just safer.
  • Second, and more importantly, is the inflationary impact of war. Wars are astronomically expensive. They are funded by massive government borrowing and, inevitably, currency creation. That’s always very bullish gold.

The market understands that a major conflict with Iran, especially one involving China and Russia, would necessitate a level of money printing that would dwarf the response to the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic combined.


Any initial downward move in gold will almost certaintly be followed by an explosive move higher. This could be why gold $20,000 call options are surging despite the recent gold sell-off.

Image

Aakash Doshi of State Street Investment Management said the size of the trade is striking given its distance from current prices, likening it to a “cheap lottery ticket.” Some large players are clearly betting on something big coming.


The Inevitable Flight to Safety

The situation in the Middle East is a tangled mess of threats, counter-threats, and conflicting reports. One moment, Iran’s Foreign Minister claims an “understanding on main principles” has been reached; the next, the Supreme Leader is threatening to sink U.S. warships. This confusion and uncertainty are, in themselves, bullish for gold.

But the underlying signal is clear. The world is moving closer to a major military confrontation, one that could involve not just the U.S. and Iran, but also China and Russia.


The potential for a miscalculation or an intentional escalation is terrifyingly high. In such an environment, the demand for a neutral, non-sovereign, and universally accepted store of value will become overwhelming.


The war premium will be priced into gold and it will happen very soon, and if the first shots are fired, the move higher will be explosive. Know history and disregard initial moves.

Maddog

Posted by ipso facto @ 12:12 on February 19, 2026  

That Epstein stink is really messing with powerful scumbags! The evil ones hate to be exposed.

ipso facto

Posted by Maddog @ 11:57 on February 19, 2026  

Re Kissinger….just lovely….his bastard child…. Billy Boy Gates of Hell, has had to pull out of some big conference today, as his presence might stink the joint up….there is some justice.

Captain Hook

Posted by goldielocks @ 11:42 on February 19, 2026  

I am also not too happy the shorts got away with that controlled and illegal theft to save themselves and nothing much done about it , but besides having to watch out for them we have to try not to trade on speculation without confirmation it’s out of a down turn and changing direction. I’m not going to play into their hands. Long term I believe it finally broke out into a upward trend  but in the mean them they’re gonna “arbitrate” or skim what they can off it. I appreciate people sharing their charts and possible scenarios but until confirms scenarios are only different  speculations. The Macd recovery is generally slow to recover once it hits bottom and stocks can even go lower at first. Selling Id rather be a bit too early but buying IMO I want to see confirmation.

Henry Kissinger spreading the love

Posted by ipso facto @ 10:59 on February 19, 2026  

illuminatibot
@iluminatibot
Henry Kissinger’s quote from a speech to the WHO Eugenics Council on February 25, 2009:

“Once the herd accepts mandatory vaccinations, it’s game over. They will accept anything – forced blood or organ donation – ‘for the common good.’

We can genetically modify children and sterilize them – ‘for the common good’….”

Vaccine manufacturers will make billions. And many of you in this room are future investors. It’s a big win-win. We exterminate the herd, and the herd pays us for our extermination services.”

https://x.com/iluminatibot/status/2024334107921305723

What happened?

Posted by Buygold @ 10:41 on February 19, 2026  

Out of nowhere we catch a bid.

deer79 – thanks for the update on those two

May be a lesson here

Posted by ipso facto @ 10:30 on February 19, 2026  

https://x.com/NorthstarCharts/status/2024133459006861629

BHP

Posted by deer79 @ 10:01 on February 19, 2026  

also had earnings come out ( $2.41 earnings estimate and came in at $2.24).

Revenue estimate was for $27.34 billion and came in at $27.9 billion.

They also announced that they’re acquiring a 33.75% silver stream at the Antamina mine for $4.3 billion, funded by cash, asset sales and debt, expecting a 50% production boost by 2030.

RIO

Posted by deer79 @ 9:56 on February 19, 2026  

Earnings came out, and the institutional sellers always use the big boys to set an example….

Recently abandoned merger talks with Glencore for starters:

Also, underlying earnings for the year came in at $10.87 billion ( flat, but below consensus estimate of $11.03 billion).

RIO’s copper business had underlying profits that more than doubled to $7.4 billion, but that makes up only about 30% of their earnings.

Iron ore profits ( that makes up about 60% of group earnings) were down 7.6%. Their shipments from the Pilbara iron ore operations in Western Australia slipped 1% while realized prices were down around 8% year on year.( from Trading View news).

AG being rewarded

Posted by Buygold @ 9:51 on February 19, 2026  

Nice, didn’t think that was allowed in the pm shares.

The big boys

Posted by Buygold @ 9:42 on February 19, 2026  

RIO and BHP are getting clobbered today. Not sure what’s happening there.

goldielocks @ 1:57

Posted by Captain Hook @ 9:32 on February 19, 2026  

I have a little TA for you … how about this daily of silver futures showing the MACD washed out and building pressure to head higher again.

And then there is this little ditty … to counter that dimwit … I wonder if he passed junior TA school … chuckle.

Me … I would be very worried if I were a silver short here … but that is just me.

Mornin all

For lack of a better analogy

Posted by deer79 @ 9:29 on February 19, 2026  

Today’s action is like a solo entry in a yoyo contest. The yoyo keeps going up and down, and the small audience just keeps watching it gyrate…….

The scum do love their games……

May not end well …

Posted by ipso facto @ 9:28 on February 19, 2026  

Wall Street Mav
@WallStreetMav
·
2h
Canadian’s won’t fight for their country, so now Canada will invite soldiers from the Chinese military to join.

I can just imagine that the Chinese military will send people with fake names and background to infiltrate the Canadian military and NATO.
Quote
Juno News
@junonewscom
·
15h
Canada is launching a new immigration category for “skilled military recruits” with job offers from the Canadian Armed Forces, including doctors, nurses, and pilots.

Minister Lena Diab says it will help “defend our sovereignty” and “keep

https://x.com/WallStreetMav/status/2024455580908474813

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Post by the Golden Rule. Oasis not responsible for content/accuracy of posts. DYODD.