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US vote update: Dems win all the races that were too close to call

Posted by goldcountry @ 12:33 on November 17, 2014  

The Hill reports that “Democrats have won all 11 House races that were too close to call Nov. 4.”[House Dems’ silver-lining wins by By Cameron Joseph, November 14, 2014]

In the absence of some kind of fraud, this defies the laws of probability.

Assuming a 50% chance of winning each seat (which is implied by “too close to call”) I think the probability of one side winning them all would be .5x.5x.5 etc (11 .5′s multiplied together), which yields 0.000488, or 1 chance in 2048.

This was noted by commenters at The Hill—two samples

Gary: “Of course the Dems won when given a little time they just kept finding uncounted votes. They just needed a few days to generate the needed votes to get to where they needed to be. Did anyone ever wonder why in a close race they always find uncounted Democratic votes and never Republican?”


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Post by the Golden Rule. Oasis not responsible for content/accuracy of posts. DYODD.