Loading ...The article was written 10 days ago but that doesn’t make it any less valid.
I hope it’s not true to be honest, I suspect it’s a quagmire we don’t need to be involved in and I suspect a conflict that the Chinese and Russians would love to see us deplete our resources fighting.
Friedman states:
Problems with any conflict are myriad. The 25 million people of the Seoul metropolitan area lie in reach of what Friedman called a “stunning mass of [North Korean] artillery.” Any strike on North Korea would likely result in a retributive attack on Seoul.
“We cannot afford the kind of casualties this will create,” Friedman said, adding that the US needed to neutralize the artillery by strategic bombardment.
A second problem for the US is that any conflict would necessarily rely on imperfect intelligence, and the effect of incorrect information could take a devastating human toll.
Friedman also called attention to Andersen Air Force Base in Guam, saying that a North Korean attack on the base would be Kim Jong Un’s only chance at delaying the war.
Pointedly branding the North Korean elites “neither crazy nor stupid,” Friedman said they had “homicidal, but not suicidal tendencies.”
“We are facing a war that is not simple,” he said, adding that Russia and China were both washing their hands of the matter.