OASIS FORUM Post by the Golden Rule. GoldTent Oasis is not responsible for content or accuracy of posts. DYODD.

silverngold @ 16:14

Posted by Maya @ 16:55 on December 19, 2017  

It’s the bottom of the 11-year sunspot cycle… after a particularly weak “maximum” five years ago…. this is why we now have global cooling instead of the over-hyped global warming of years past.   Notify the climate police!!  The sun’s output is the source of our climate changes… not your car exhaust.   And I’m living on a volcano whose pollution output far exceeds anything manmade.

This is only day 100 without a sunspot.  In 2009 the sun went 260 days without a spot at the last cycle minimum.

http://spaceweather.com/

Without the sunspots lighting up the ionosphere for radio reflections, the shortwave radio bands really suck right now.  No fears… it will be much better in six years.

FWIW but lots of food for thought

Posted by silverngold @ 16:14 on December 19, 2017  

Buygold 15:01

Posted by goldielocks @ 15:08 on December 19, 2017  

Yep, It’s like getting someone working for one side working for the other like a mole. He’s not up for election anytime soon so don’t think he’ll be able to run again by the time he’s up to run again. Until then he’ll be a obstructionist or absent to vote for his parties concerns.

Every Democrat Voted No

Posted by commish @ 15:06 on December 19, 2017  

dkqdbueuqaafszt The Bill passed the House but the democrats voted no for a tax break for the working family.

That’s how he wins AZ. elections

Posted by Buygold @ 15:01 on December 19, 2017  

Arizona GOP Sen. John McCain is viewed more favorably by Democrats and independents than Republicans, a CNN Poll conducted by SSRS released Tuesday shows.

Sixty-eight percent of Democrats said they had a favorable opinion of the Republican senator, whereas 48% of independents and 46% of Republicans responded the same way.

http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/mccain-more-popular-among-dems-cnn-poll-shows/ar-BBH1ZTP?li=BBmkt5R&ocid=ientp

At least we’re trying to hold steady

Posted by Buygold @ 13:45 on December 19, 2017  

although we should probably be doing better with the USD down.

R640 – I think we’re probably going to need a couple more weeks of good COT numbers if they are going to have any effect. I’m assuming of course that the COT’s aren’t rigged like everything else… 🙂

Eeos–U ask the paradigmatic question that applies to all advisers-brokers-letter writers-if they’re so smart why are they peddling subscriptions-why not trade their own money and get rich?

Posted by Richard640 @ 13:34 on December 19, 2017  

I guess one way of looking at the issue would be to ask why are there coaches if they cannot get on the field and play the game…but that’s really no answer

A lotta good those “incredible” COT stats did for G&S….

Posted by Richard640 @ 13:28 on December 19, 2017  

AMID BITCOIN BROUHAHA, TRADERS PAY UP FOR GDX CRASH PROTECTION

Posted by Richard640 @ 13:20 on December 19, 2017  

Out-of-the-money put option prices have skyrocketed on this commodity play

by Bernie Schaeffer

But whether bitcoin is solely to blame for gold’s recent drop — and one could argue that the stronger dollar and tax reform optimism have also played a part — is neither here nor there. What fascinates me is the recent spike in the cost of “crash protection” on the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), which invests in the shares of gold miners.

Specifically, the 10-day moving average of GDX’s put/call skew on 5% out-of-the-money (OOTM) options – which compares implied volatility (IV) readings for OOTM puts against OOTM calls — has skyrocketed by more than 20% over the past 20 sessions, and stands at its highest point since December 2014. This indicates traders are bidding up the odds of an extended decline in GDX shares, which fell more than 8% from their Nov. 28 intraday high of $23.17 to their Dec. 12 intraday low of $21.27 – marking territory not charted since July for the fund.

Since 2006, there have been just eight surges of that magnitude in this barometer, including the one that flashed just last week. Three of the signals sounded before the March 2009 bottom, and the other four prior to last week’s occurred between September 2013 and November 2014. While I’d like to offer actionable insight into how GDX might perform after this most recent surge in OOTM put demand, the historical price action after such signals is mixed, not to mention very heavily skewed by the November 2008 signal, after which GDX skyrocketed more than 79% in six months, as the throes of the financial crisis sparked a run on “safe haven,” tangible assets like gold.

Perhaps the most “concrete” conclusion to be drawn from the data: GDX tends to be more volatile than usual in the intermediate term, following quick-and-dirty spikes in its OOTM put/call skew, as measured by a bigger-than-usual standard deviation of returns following these signals.

https://tinyurl.com/y9nkl79e

SABINA GOLD & SILVER ANNOUNCES 9.9% STRATEGIC INVESTMENT BY ZHAOJIN INTERNATIONAL MINING CO., LTD.

Posted by ipso facto @ 12:51 on December 19, 2017  

https://www.stockwatch.com/News/Item.aspx?bid=Z-C%3aSBB-2548249&symbol=SBB&region=C

@Maddog re Manipulated Gold Prices, Low Interest Rates, Fed Bond Buying, Infrastructure Spending, Modifying NAFTA, Tariffs On Steel and Aluminum, Income and Profit Tax Cuts, Low Wages Concern…

Posted by Mr.Copper @ 12:06 on December 19, 2017  

Did I miss anything? Probably a lot more, panic and concern moves regarding the new world order global commune-ity gov’t.

The same Business/Fed ass holes that wanted lower wages (and materials) in the 1970s, got their way. Now they realize it was PROFITABLE short term (36 years ’72 to 2008) but counter productive long term.

The bastards used to say inflation was caused by too high wages. A “wage price spiral” the scum bags called it.

They, TPTB, will “get theirs” probably suddenly.

Au back < $ 1260….it's all so obvious.

Posted by Maddog @ 11:37 on December 19, 2017  

Not good action tdy…looks like the scum are active sellers, as per usual.

Posted by Maddog @ 11:29 on December 19, 2017  

Maddog

Posted by ipso facto @ 10:53 on December 19, 2017  

Seems to me … not so good for morale … torturing your own guys.

ipso facto

Posted by Maddog @ 10:38 on December 19, 2017  

Re Hamas torture….they’re just keeping their hand in…it’s what comes naturally.

zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

Posted by ipso facto @ 10:34 on December 19, 2017  

I guess better bored and mostly flat than falling like a stone.

Divided Leadership?

Posted by ipso facto @ 9:26 on December 19, 2017  

Hamas Torturing Militants In Crackdown On “Unauthorized” Rocket Attacks Against Israel

The Palestinian militant group Hamas which governs the Gaza Strip has reportedly initiated a crackdown on Salafist fighters within its ranks who are responsible for instances of unauthorized rocket fire into Israel, which has been sporadic in the last two weeks since President Trump’s contentious recognition of Jerusalem as the Israeli capital on December 6th.

The Times of Israel cites Hamas media statements as well as unnamed intelligence sources to report that the group has arrested a growing number of Islamist militants in recent days amidst the crackdown and further that some among them were likely tortured in an effort to clamp down on the attacks, which have invited devastating air and tank counter assaults by Israeli forces on Hamas locations.

“According to Hamas, among those arrested were operatives responsible for the recent rocket launches. It’s likely that some of these men were tortured by Hamas’ security people,” the report states. Hamas is further signaling to Egyptian intelligence and other regional Arab governments that it wishes to avoid escalation with Israel according to the report.

more http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-12-18/hamas-torturing-militants-crackdown-unauthorized-rocket-attacks-against-israel

test

Posted by Farmboy @ 9:14 on December 19, 2017  

If fraud martin armstrong is so smart

Posted by eeos @ 6:35 on December 19, 2017  

why does he need subscribers? Why wouldn’t he just help himself? He’s a tool

Merkel’s Last Stand – Article 7 For Poland

Posted by Maddog @ 4:11 on December 19, 2017  

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-12-18/merkels-last-stand-article-7-poland

The word is that Merkel is gonna fire Junker, for being a piss artist, which he is and take the job of President for herself….that way she can resign as Chancellor, before she is fired.

Some good info here

Posted by ipso facto @ 19:54 on December 18, 2017  

Gold mining: the world’s cheapest jurisdictions

Gold mining: the world’s cheapest jurisdictions

MARTIN ARMSTRONG-DOW 37K-20K BY 2020 AND Gold and equities are the place to be.” + interest rates are going to go up faster than anybody has ever seen in history

Posted by Richard640 @ 19:13 on December 18, 2017  

Trump Tax Cuts Will Start Monumental US Boom – Martin Armstrong

By Greg Hunter On December 17, 2017 In Political Analysis

By Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com (Early Sunday Release)

Legendary financial and geopolitical analyst Martin Armstrong says the Trump tax cuts are going to be a very positive move for the U.S economy. Armstrong explains, “It’s huge, I cannot tell you how much. . . . Any company that doesn’t bring its cash back under this deal should be sold short, basically. You bring it in because who knows what will happen when the politics change. It’s a one-time deal. You get to bring it in, and you better get it in fast.”

Armstrong thinks you cannot underestimate the effect Trump tax cuts will have on the U.S. economy. Armstrong goes on to say, “It’s monumental. It really is a very pro-business situation, and that’s going to grow jobs, etc. Small businesses and pass-throughs have been abused. They have been abused. A small business tries to get a loan from a bank, and 70% of them are declined. It’s really more of a pro-business type thing. I mean in what you are paying out in taxes, in our office, we could hire ten more people. You have to understand what it does, it then puts pressure on everybody else. We already have Canadian companies standing up and saying we are going to have to move to the United States if this keeps up.”

Armstrong says the rest of the world is freaking out about the Trump tax cuts because they are going to lose business. Armstrong says, “Absolutely, China, I had to fly to London to meet with very senior people and they met me in London. . . . You have to grasp the structural differences outside the United States. . . . If this tax thing goes through, our models are showing we should be reaching the 37,000 to 40,000 level (on the DOW) at least by 2020.”

There is also some bad news. Armstrong is worried about central banks continually buying bonds to suppress interest rates. Armstrong says, “Yes, absolutely. We are in the biggest bond bubble in history, not a stock bubble, but a bubble. . . . The scary thing in Europe is the ECB (European Central Bank) has been basically supporting the governments. It is subsidizing all the governments in the Eurozone. We are looking at almost 10 years of quantitative easing with that, and it hasn’t helped the economy. If the ECB backs off, who’s going to buy the debt?”

How does this end? Armstrong says, “Our computers are showing that interest rates are going to go up faster than anybody has ever seen in history. . . . You are looking at a doubling of interest rates very, very rapidly. . . . Gold and equities are the place to be.”

Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with Martin Armstrong of ArmstrongEconomics.com.

Video Link

https://usawatchdog.com/trump-tax-cuts-will-start- monumental-us-boom-martin-armstrong/

 

IT’s very surreal to see Bitcoin $19K+

Posted by eeos @ 18:54 on December 18, 2017  

and Silver in the doghouse and Gold treading water

re Part Of Kunstler The Darkest Hours @ 15:04

Posted by Mr.Copper @ 16:58 on December 18, 2017  

Part:

The addiction metaphor does apply to America. We are simply addicted to our own bullshit. But like all floundering addicts, we have to hit bottom before anything like clarity returns to our daily doings. When that does happen, it will be as far from intoxicating as you can imagine. The smoldering wreckage of The World’s Highest Standing of Living will be visible in a 360-degree panorama.

Comment:

In my opinion, the “addiction” was American consumers being manipulated by globally promiscuous ” junkies ” to gleefully buy cheaper high quality consumer products.

Plus, our domestic manufacturing businesses were manipulated with obscene environmental laws and a 35% corporate rate tax in the USA and give themselves a 20% tax rate if moving overseas. Domestic companies were pretty much forced to shut down or move to foreign nations.

Re, the part, we have to hit bottom before anything? Well that already happened in the summer of 2008 exposing the smoldering wreckage of The World’s Highest Standing of Living that peaked around 1972 and culminated in 2008.

Because of all the above, TPTB are now the dog being wagged by the tail. Doing things they normally would not do, to rebuild the US consumer. Too little too late may be the situation now. They over harvested and over abused the American masses, and its all going against them now.

They are actually COMPLAINING and WORRYING about stagnant wages, or no wage inflation. It MEANS they all need more money (and tax receipts) and the masses inflation adjusted inadequate wages are liable to cause a massive deflation.

Maybe at that point, consumer prices getting lower, and wages still stagnant, it would be a like a pay raise.

Not a bad close….

Posted by Buygold @ 16:04 on December 18, 2017  

at least not the usual bleeding we’re used to seeing…

 

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Post by the Golden Rule. Oasis not responsible for content/accuracy of posts. DYODD.