OASIS FORUM Post by the Golden Rule. GoldTent Oasis is not responsible for content or accuracy of posts. DYODD.

some interesting questions…

Posted by treefrog @ 22:17 on March 29, 2018  
why is california so upset about the u. s. citizenship question being added to the census?

if half of the residents of california are not citizens, does this reduce california’s apportionment of congressional districts by half?

would this be reflected in a reduction of votes in the electoral college?

i have read the portions of the constitution that i think are relevant, and the answer is not clear to me.  this will no doubt wind up before the courts.
another interesting question – will it hit the courts before or after kennedy’s replacement is confirmed?

granolistan, the land of flakes, nuts, and fruits continues to be an interesting place to watch….

…from a distance.

Buygold @ 19:06

Posted by ipso facto @ 20:24 on March 29, 2018  

Certainly not a done deal! I’ll believe it when …

In the previous article is written=” appears to be” regarding a 15,000 call share lot-but what about the other 55,000 calls?

Posted by Richard640 @ 20:11 on March 29, 2018  

All of them indicate bearish intentions?

SLV–from Schaeffers Research today

Posted by Richard640 @ 20:06 on March 29, 2018  

TODAY THE SLV APRIL 20TH 2018 $16 CALL=22.079 VOL.—THE $16.50 CALL=35.202 VOL.—[see link at bottom]

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Options volume is accelerated on the iShares Silver Trust (SLV) this afternoon, with nearly 70,000 calls and 35,000 puts traded. This is more than three times what’s typically seen at this point in the session, with volume pacing in the 100th annual percentile. Diving deeper, it looks like speculators are targeting a key technical level for SLV ahead of a historically tough month.

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Specifically, the April 16.50 call is most active in SLV’s options pits so far, with 35,140 contracts on the tape. The bulk of this action — including a 15,000-contract block — appears to be of the sell-to-open kind, meaning traders expect the shares to churn below $16.50 through the close on Friday, April 20, when the front-month options expire.  This region has served as an overhead ceiling for SLV shares for some time, with the last monthly close north of here coming in August 2017. What’s more, $16.50 coincides with a 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the trust’s rally from July through September of last year. More recently, the shares have been chopping between support at $15.30 and resistance near $15.90 since early February.

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This disappointing price action could continue over the next several weeks, if history is any guide. According to Schaeffer’s Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White, SLV has been one of the worst-performing exchange-traded fund’s (ETF) in April, turning in a positive monthly performance in just three of the past 10 years. On average, SLV returns 1.31% in April — a move that would put the shares right in the middle of their recent range, based on the current trading price of $15.40.

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However, data from White shows SLV has been the best ETF in the second quarter — potentially bad news for the massive amount of speculators that are currently short on silver. Over the last decade, the shares have ended the second quarter positive 90% of the time, boasting an average return of 9.7%. A similar swing higher would put SLV near $16.90 by the end of June, territory not seen since last September.

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https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SLV/options?p=SLV&date=1524182400

Ipso – Great news if…

Posted by Buygold @ 19:06 on March 29, 2018  

His Neocon cabinet – aka John Bolton and Israel will allow it…

I have my doubts the warmongers will let us out of Syria or the M.E. anytime soon

Yes! Let’s get the eff out!

Posted by ipso facto @ 18:52 on March 29, 2018  

Trump: “We’re Coming Out Of Syria Very Soon; Others Can Take Care Of It Now”

President Donald Trump made a surprise announcement on Thursday afternoon, stating during a speech in Richfield, Ohio dedicated to Trump’s infrastructure week, that US forces will be withdrawing from Syria, citing the defeat of ISIS and the need to defend US borders and rebuild crumbling infrastructure: “We’re coming out of Syria very soon. Let the other people take care of it now.” Others like Russia perhaps?

cont. https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-29/trump-were-coming-out-syria-very-soon-others-can-take-care-it-now

Happy Easter Everyone!

Posted by ipso facto @ 18:17 on March 29, 2018  

and VOTE IN THE POLL VOTE IN THE POLL

Posted by treefrog @ 16:57 on March 29, 2018  

10174931_10202040211382385_8197832498579004413_n

MM

Posted by ipso facto @ 16:36 on March 29, 2018  

and here I thought you were a master of the obscure!

Happy Easter one and all.

Posted by Maddog @ 16:30 on March 29, 2018  

second amendment repeal? AIN’T GONNA HAPPEN!

Posted by treefrog @ 16:20 on March 29, 2018  

former supreme court justice john paul stevens has urged the repeal of the second amendment.

don’t worry.  repealing the second amendment would be incredibly difficult. what it would take is a two thirds majority of the house and senate plus a majority of the legislatures in three quarters of the states to go on record trying to cancel part of the bill of rights.
any politician over the age of twenty one realizes that would be an act of political suicide.
anybody who thinks there are that many politicians willing to end their careers, well, i want to know what you’ve been smoking.  i want to buy stock in whoever’s selling it.

macroman3

Posted by Maddog @ 16:03 on March 29, 2018  

Re Huang on……they’ll take it out of my cold dead hands !!!!

Hey ipso, sorry I’m not up on my Lord of the Rings.

Posted by macroman3 @ 15:32 on March 29, 2018  

I can’t even keep up with those Dungeons and Dragons tokens called Etherium, Hopium and Bitcoin.

treefrog … you’re welcome!

Posted by ipso facto @ 15:01 on March 29, 2018  

Have had several people lately lose their ability to post with no changes made on our end. Fortunately it seems an easy fix with a new PW.

macroman3

Posted by ipso facto @ 14:59 on March 29, 2018  

In the poll so far not much enthusiasm for self driving cars …

Millenials will probably embrace them.

I had this thought the other day:

Millenials = Eloi
Mexicans = Morlocks

🙂

PS Morlocks at least in the sense that they do the work.

ipso,

Posted by treefrog @ 14:52 on March 29, 2018  

thx!

Maddog, 11:32, to extend ipso excellent selection yesterday, the new title is Huang On Sloopy

Posted by macroman3 @ 14:48 on March 29, 2018  

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I6taC4Qxq7g

A bulletin from Bizarro world-all the G&S stuff I track is up top tick…yet comex gold down 1.30–silver up just 7 cent–but SLV still huffing & puffing=up 4 cent-it’ll catch up Monday.

Posted by Richard640 @ 14:23 on March 29, 2018  

Global X Silver Miners ETF (SIL)–30.62+0.52 (+1.73%)

As of 2:07PM EDT. Market open.

Spy Organizations

Posted by ipso facto @ 14:21 on March 29, 2018  

Think Facebook knows a lot about you? Google is WORSE! From deleted files to location history, IT expert reveals the extent of the personal data the search giant holds on you

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-5557619/IT-expert-reveals-extent-data-Google-you.html

In stocks. today is quarter end window dressing

Posted by Richard640 @ 13:07 on March 29, 2018  

From ZH reader=Correlations tend to move toward 1 during crash waves (mass-correlated hyper-volatile illiquidity events). There is no “rotation” during a crash, there is only panic and margin clerks.

Posted by Richard640 @ 13:06 on March 29, 2018  
Predictions are difficult to make, especially if they’re about the future.
-Neils Bohr, physicist
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Or, as Nassim Taleb argues, we form our guesses about the future (and associated risks) based upon the scientific notion of normal distributions but the really impactful events in life are those that lay outside these ‘bell curve’ estimates and create what he termed ‘Black Swan Events’. Any number of Black Swan Events could send the variables that make up the complex systems discussed here sideways in totally unexpected ways.
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It is a lot more involved than that. In the long term the primary drivers of the uptrend are incessant monetary inflation and the so-called “survivor bias” – any company the market cap of which falls below the applicable threshold in a given quarter is simply chucked out of the index and replaced by the nearest one that has overtaken it in terms of market cap. 
In the short term, rotation effects do become a noticeable feature, but none of this matters if and when a really important trendline or lateral support line breaks at the end of a bubble. Correlations tend to move toward 1 during crash waves (mass-correlated hyper-volatile illiquidity events). There is no “rotation” during a crash, there is only panic and margin clerks. 
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Maddog-yeah!! I saw bonds up earlier…I just got this from Ballinger re: PMs

Posted by Richard640 @ 13:03 on March 29, 2018  
In PMs Mike Ballinger asserts that=
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Shares ALWAYS lead the metal and option activity leads the shares. Share performance ALWAYS confirms or rejects the gold move and silver and the mining shares are confirmation indicators for the entire sector.
 
HUI up, SIL up., silver up….gold is a “buy”.
 

R640

Posted by Maddog @ 12:57 on March 29, 2018  

Wierd u ain’t kidding…see Bonds, rates are falling apart while the SM is well bid….which makes no senses at all, unless real investors are dumping Stocks and buying Bonds, while the scum are buying the SM with both hands.

Welcome to just another day in weird and whacky world of PMs!

Posted by Richard640 @ 12:31 on March 29, 2018  

SIL is up 40 cent****************SLV is up 2 cent**********I don’t like the action and technicals in PMs…but we all know they are unreliable most of the time….I have no PM inventory on my books ahead of this 3 day weekend…after rummaging around, looking for a way, with the least monetary exposure–yet still a sizable position-I spent 2 grand and I came up with this “bright idea” [snort!]=

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03/29/2018  10:17:53 Bought 400 SLV Apr 13 2018 16.0 Call @ 0.05

One should not speak ill of the dead..but

Posted by Maddog @ 11:32 on March 29, 2018  

Walter Huang’s family tells Dan Noyes he took his Tesla to the dealer, complaining that — on multiple occasions — the auto-pilot veered toward that same barrier — the one his Model X hit on Friday when he died.

If the above is true, then we have a very good Darwin candidate…..

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Post by the Golden Rule. Oasis not responsible for content/accuracy of posts. DYODD.