By my calculations and based upon CFTC data, JPMorgan has bought back 20,000 COMEX silver short contracts (the equivalent of 100 million ounces) and 90,000 COMEX gold short contracts (the equivalent of 9 million ounces). How many more COMEX futures contracts can be bought by JPMorgan is anyone’s guess, but based upon the record short selling by the managed money traders, it wouldn’t appear that JPMorgan can buy many more COMEX contracts. After all, the record managed money selling is what enabled JPMorgan to buy so many contracts in the first place; once that selling dries up, JPMorgan is unlikely to be able to buy many more contracts as a result.
It is the highly concentrated nature of JPMorgan’s futures contract buying that sets the stage for an upside price jolt that promises to unfold faster to the upside than any previous move. So deft has JPMorgan been in buying gold futures contracts recently that I have taken to describing it as a double cross of other traders. But once the move higher unfolds, it promises to be the largest rally in silver and gold in history by virtue of the massive physical hoard accumulated by JPMorgan.
Amazingly, all it will take for this price explosion scenario to unfold is for JPMorgan not to add aggressively to short positions when the inevitable rally begins. You heard me right – the silver price explosion to $50 and beyond, along with a commensurate move in gold is only contingent on JPMorgan doing nothing on the next rally. Admittedly, JPMorgan has been in many similar set ups in the past and has always added aggressively to its COMEX short positions, eventually capping those rallies. This has prompted many to assume that JPMorgan will always sell short aggressively on future rallies. But the current set up has never favored JPMorgan this much. If what JPMorgan has always done holds true again we will get a rally of some significance anyway, just not the big one. But if JPMorgan doesn’t add to short positions on the next rally, the third run to $50 silver and beyond should be at hand.
Ted Butler
https://www.silver-phoenix500.com/article/next-silver-run-50-and-beyond