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The CoT report that is given out to the public is NOT the original compiled report. It has been altered and only the Banksters/Major Players & CEM have the original. That is the reason for the 3 day delay. You are seeing what they want you to see which, is different from what they originally reported. There is the original CoT 1 and the phony public Cot 2 report all compiled 2 days apart.
The Banksters, et al. submit their data…CEM compiles it and does NOT submit it to the public. Rather they send it back to the Banksters for the initial report review and editing…read change the submitted data at will. If the original data was accurate there would be no need to change it, especially after only 1 day of having submitted it. Since the original data and the revised data are at variance then nothing officially must be said or challenged or audited. There is your Rig and the reason for the 3 day delay.
Posted by ipso facto
@ 20:37 on September 14, 2019
In the light of these new devastating attacks on their oil industry perhaps the Saudis will decide the Yemen war is too expensive and negotiate an end.
A false set of books! (Clue here… yet seems scant interest) Posted all this many years ago and yet the scam still goes on. Imagine analyzing Enron back then when your data points were based upon a phony set of books.
Saudi Aramco describes the Buqyaq facility as “the largest crude oil stabilization plant in the world.”
Update 2: In a sharp, if perhaps not unexpected, escalation, US Secretary of State – now without John Bolton by his side – tweeted at 4pm on Saturday, that contrary to earlier reports, This could which has now indefinitely taken offline as much as 5mmb/d in Saudi crude production.
In a follow up tweet, Pompeo said that he calls “on all nations to publicly and unequivocally condemn Iran’s attacks” which is odd as not even Saudi Arabia accused Iran of today’s aggression (which many speculated could have been a Saudi false flag in hopes of sending the price of oil soaring ahead of the Aramco IPO). Pompeo concluded that “the United States will work with our partners and allies to ensure that energy markets remain well supplied and Iran is held accountable for its aggression.”
Will this pivot away from Houthis to Iran as the “origin” of the attack be sufficient grounds to re-inflame tensions between the US and Iran, especially following last week’s news that one of the reasons Bolton was fired was due to his hard-line stance on Iran even as Trump was willing to sit down with the Tehran regime for negotiations. Since the deep state stands to make much more money from war rather than peace, our guess is that the answer is a resounding “yes.”
Posted by ipso facto
@ 16:49 on September 14, 2019
Israeli Attacks On Syria Halted After Russia Threatened To Shoot Down Jets
According to reports in both Israeli and Arabic regional media, Israel this past week was preparing to expand major airstrikes against “Iran-backed” targets in Syria, but Moscow imposed its red line. The Independent has published a story describing that Russia’s military in Syria threatened to shoot down any invading Israeli warplanes using fighter jets or their S-400 system.
The Jerusalem Post, citing sources in the UK Independent (Arabia), writes just after the latest meeting in Sochi between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Russian President Vladimir Putin:
According to the report, Moscow has prevented three Israeli airstrikes on three Syrian outposts recently, and even threatened that any jets attempting such a thing would be shot down, either by Russian jets or by the S400 Anti-aircraft missiles. The source cited in the report claims a similar situation has happened twice, and that during August, Moscow stopped an airstrike on a Syrian outpost in Qasioun, where a S300 missile battery is placed.
Netanyahu’s hasty trip to meet with Putin on Thursday – even in the final days before Tuesday’s key election – was reportedly with a goal to press the Russian president on essentially ignoring Israel’s attacks in Syria.
I see a good many analysts use it/ reference it to justify their latest positioning. Every now and then some will complain about the notorious 3 day lag time for its public release. 3 days…really! in this day and age?? Yup. But, why the 3 day lag? ANYBODY? I know the answer but, if I told you why (yes, it’s rigged) I wonder if you would believe me.
I guess if there’s a time to take a shot it would be now. I agree with you that the China trade news – especially good – appears to be losing its rally impact on the SM, although the SM just seems to grind higher no matter what.
It feels like it’s been an awful long time since we’ve had a meaningful selloff – 10% or more. Almost as if an algo save comes in every 2-3% down to save everything. If the SM goes then it appears everything goes with it, economy, housing, etc. so the PPT just can’t let it go no matter what.
You and I are old enough to remember nasty corrections, I just haven’t seen any since 08-09′.
Nonetheless, I wouldn’t bet against you. I don’t think the Fed will cut .50 on Wednesday, but any cut might just be a selling opportunity in the SM and if they only cut .25, the SM could really punish them. Who knows?
Posted by Richard640
@ 13:12 on September 14, 2019
I wanted to find out for myself. So I gathered all the historical price and COT data for the 5-years treasury market. I compared each week’s report to the next week’s rolling average (in order to best capture fluctuations and changes throughout the week). I then built four different kinds of classification models to predict whether prices would go up or down based off the changes of position of the various kinds of traders, and I found that the data led to correct predictions about 62% of the time across all four models. This strongly suggests that the COT can be effectively used as a guide for speculators as the legend has long claimed, but that it should not be fully relied upon. I encourage readers of this blog not to take my word for it, but to conduct their own analysis and see for themselves.
Posted by Richard640
@ 10:09 on September 14, 2019
an opportune time to take some stabs selling stock indexes…not sure if I’m gonna…but this couldn’t. be a more classic. set. up=
It’s the time. of the year
A. 10 yr bull mkt–possible triple top
also a “buy. the rumor sell the news” set up. with the China-Europe [&. others] tariff/trade issue
on the bull side. is free money, don’t fight. the FED. and the Prez doing all he can to support stocks
I wouldn’t need a 2008 crash…a. 20%. sell off like in late. 2018 would do the trick–after all, even the bulls, are preying for a. “healthy” correction before the next moon shot to 35K DOW….so that they could “scoop up bargains”…LOL
SDOW’s third split took place on May 24, 2019. This was a 1 for 4 reverse split, meaning for each 4 shares of SDOW owned pre-split, the shareholder now owned 1 share. For example, a 62.5 share position pre-split, became a 15.625 share position following the split.
QID
ProShares Trust – UltraShort QQQ ETF (QID) has 3 splits in our QID split history database. .
QID’s third split took place on May 24, 2018. This was a 1 for 4 reverse split, meaning for each 4 shares of QID owned pre-split, the shareholder now owned 1 share. For example, a 50 share position pre-split, became a 12.5 share position following the split.
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