OASIS FORUM Post by the Golden Rule. GoldTent Oasis is not responsible for content or accuracy of posts. DYODD.

Maddog @ 9:58

Posted by Captain Hook @ 10:14 on November 18, 2019  

Yes you are right. But with all the money printing the effect on the markets is not present yet. All the straws will eventually break the camel’s back, but not yet. The markets don’t lie when the bankers are having their way (see my comments last week on the SPX/CRB Ratio). Christmas bonus season is coming and they will not let anything interrupt that (even with all the money printing manifesting this as a profound paradox).

That is to say with all the money printing, if it was not hoarded by the bankers and their buddies (think bonuses, corporate buy backs, etc.), commodities would be soaring — not the other way around.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see stocks back up by day’s end.

Cheers

CaptainHook

Posted by Maddog @ 9:58 on November 18, 2019  

Barring a five gamma event

u want a Gamma event, how about the collapse of Hong Kong…..it is happening as we watch. One of the Worlds major financial centres is falling apart. Tourism is over, the real estate mkt is overlooking a precipice, retail is in collapse and the banks are on a knife edge.

As far as the UK MSM is concerned it ain’t happening, which is always a giveaway, when “they” are crapping themselves.

Buygold @ 8:40

Posted by Captain Hook @ 9:18 on November 18, 2019  

Yes this will only delay things.

Barring a five gamma event, PM’s are not going anywhere substantially until these futures gambling idiots are purged from the market — if you can call it that in knowing the bankers will be back to piss on gold the next time it goes above $1500 again.

Hook

 

On again, off again – Captain we got a minor bump from the negative trade news – go figure

Posted by Buygold @ 8:40 on November 18, 2019  

Stocks, Yuan, Bond Yields Tumble On “Pessimistic” Reports From China On Trade Deal

“Mood in Beijing about trade deal is pessimistic, government source tells me.”

Blowoff. tops–The financial media denied the Q4 1999 – Q1 2000 blowoff top was a blowoff top, and it repeated its denial of a blowoff top in housing in 2006-2007.

Posted by Richard640 @ 8:33 on November 18, 2019  
Calling QE not-QE doesn’t make it different than QE, but it does communicate the Fed’s panicky desire to mask its stupendous injection of financial cocaine into the financial system. The Fed’s level of panic is noteworthy, as is the absurd transparency of its laughable attempt to conceal its panic.
In the same fashion, the financial media is loudly declaring the current blowoff top in stocks is not a blowoff top. The delicious irony here is these denials are reliable markers of blowoff tops: the louder the denials, the greater the odds that this is in fact the blowoff top that many pundits have been expecting for some time, but always in the future.
Garsh darn it, maybe the future has arrived. The financial media denied the Q4 1999 – Q1 2000 blowoff top was a blowoff top, and it repeated its denial of a blowoff top in housing in 2006-2007. The pundits of 1929 also deThe financial menied the Q3 blowoff top in stocks was a blowoff top.
If you want a reliable signal that the blowoff top has peaked, listen to the screechy adamance of the deniers. The list of reasons why blowoff tops can’t be blowoff tops is practically endless: sentiment isn’t bullish enough, there’s a Wall of Worry for stocks to climb (overlooking the inconvenient reality that there is always a Wall of Worry), the consumer is still looking good, corporate earnings will rebound, the soft patch is behind us, the Internet will grow for decades to come, they’re not making any more land, capital flows favor higher asset prices, we owe it to ourselves (paging Paul Krugman–the Keynesian Cargo Cult is about to dance the humba-humba around the campfire and you’re needed…), debt doesn’t matter (it never matters until it does), price-earning ratios have plenty of room to move higher, and everyone’s favorite, don’t fight the all-powerful Fed (and we command you not to look behind the curtain while we worship false gods and wave dead chickens).
But nonetheless, blowoff tops in asset bubbles remain a feature of asset overvaluation, which by the way has once again reached historic extremes (GDP to equity valuation, etc.)
This introduces the other reliable indicator of blowoff tops: this time it’s different. It’s always different at blowoff tops, but not in the way that proponents of eternally rising asset valuations imagine.
Even geniuses misread blowoff tops. Popular culture has it that Isaac Newton made money in the South Sea Company bubble, sold for a handsome profit and then re-entered at a much higher price, losing a fortune when the blowoff top collapsed. Some historians have argued that this account is not accurate, but new research verifies that Newton did miscalculate and lose a fortune: Newton’s financial misadventures in the South Sea Bubble:
 

http://charleshughsmith.blogspot.com

Buygold @ 7:38

Posted by Captain Hook @ 8:05 on November 18, 2019  

Ya with ETF options expired Friday, and the new options cycle having little effect on trade until we flip into the next month, the futures market will have a greater influence on trade.

So with all the gambling idiots long PM futures right now, you could indeed see quite a fall in a very short period of time, especially if the shares fall hard too (they will because the ETF put buyers were supporting them.)

Hope you heeded my warnings last week.

Hook

Waterfall Monday

Posted by Buygold @ 7:38 on November 18, 2019  

Image result for waterfall pics"

Maya – The Canadian & Kicking Horse Pass

Posted by Bob @ 0:26 on November 18, 2019  

In the mid ’60’s when traveling across Canada I would take the railway, not by passenger car but by ‘riding the units’. i.e., the locomotives. This was done by boarding and occupying one of the rearmost units on rail-yard departure, a practice tolerated by CNR employees. (The Fireman would always check each unit and they would often offer water or sandwiches. Water jugs were also sometimes situated in some units, which was convenient).

One winter trip found me in Revelstoke, B.C., tossed off a train by the engineer when he discovered in one of his units awaiting departure from the station. I had been using the CNR exclusively prior to this and this was the first CPR track I had ridden, hitching the original ride from Calgary headed west. I later learned that the CPR did not tolerate unit riders.

I waited several hours for another train to depart and caught and occupied the last unit of a seven-unit train. High multiple unit trains were common in the Rockies then since they were only rated approximately 1500 HP, where modern engines can be rated 4000 HP or more.

The train rose toward Kicking Horse Pass (just as Maya’s photos depict). Kicking Horse Pass crosses the Continental Divide and is the highest point on the CPR railway: unbeknownst to me was what lay ahead. Spiral tunnels had been constructed on the rail-line that permitted a rise in elevation over a longer distance, thus reducing the grade through the pass. When we entered the first tunnel I immediately was struck by diesel engine exhaust from the leading six units, and though I don’t remember it, I soon succumbed to the contaminated atmosphere and passed out.

I regained consciousness some time late whilst crossing the Kicking Horse River, several miles from the tunnel egress and at the end of the Pass descent stage. Disoriented upon resuming consciousness, I thought I was crossing the North Thompson River near Kamloops, hours away from Kicking Horse Pass! It was only later when traveling through a town that I realized where I was. I also recall having a splitting headache, my first episode in breathing Carbon Monoxide. (Breathing Carbon Dioxide will give one the same headache: don’t ask).

Thanks for all the rail photos Maya: I never fail to enjoy them.

 

Gold Train

Posted by Maya @ 22:28 on November 17, 2019  

rrflasher-copy

The Canadian climbs Kicking Horse Pass
https://railpictures.net/photo/711485/
https://railpictures.net/photo/711486/

 

Buygold

Posted by ipso facto @ 19:42 on November 17, 2019  

I am very sorry if I offended anyone.

Especially you snowflake lunkheads. 🙂

Ipso, Alex, Captain

Posted by Buygold @ 17:57 on November 17, 2019  

I think you guys are being to hard on Kapernick – snowflakes could be offended by that!

tom

The Demoncrats Hydra

Posted by newtogold @ 16:02 on November 17, 2019  

https://youtu.be/si-vMj-FB88. Long,  about 2 hours but well presented by Beck.

old-timer @ 13:39

Posted by silverngold @ 15:01 on November 17, 2019  

Good Rant!! Thanks! This stuff needs to be exposed to the light of day!

Good work if you can get it.

Posted by ipso facto @ 14:22 on November 17, 2019  

Al Sharpton was paid more than $1M by his OWN charity in 2018 – but he says he’s worth it because he works six days a week

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7694129/Al-Sharpton-paid-1M-charity-2018.html

old-timer @ 13:39

Posted by ipso facto @ 13:48 on November 17, 2019  

I wish I could disagree but what you say is all true. Seattle is fast becoming just like SF with it’s socialist anti business agenda and homeless people overrunning the place. Olympia is pretty bad too … hundreds of tents in the forest areas and problems with litter, drug abuse and crime. It’s a problem without an easy solution.

But at least Kapernick ain’t our quarterback! 🙂

@ ipso facto @ 9:31 – Seattle and it’s Hawks…

Posted by old-timer @ 13:39 on November 17, 2019  

I wondered if that Seahawks offer to Kaepernick was a kind of “virtue signal” to the 12’s- the local fans.

Seattle is a regular Babylon with Amazon, Microsoft, Starbucks, Google, Facebook, all having a huge presence;

not forgetting Seattle’s socialist government.

All the local news carries are the shootings, traffic messes which occur several times a day,

and of course the sports – Soccer now in a frenzy over the MLS Cup, and the Seahawks, and lastly, the Mariners,

for those of us who identify with not having every day be perfect.

On a slow slide to becoming San Francisco North, everyone seems to be oblivious to the

shit and needles on the street, the random attacks on folks by crazed nut jobs who, when caught, are released,

only to re-offend and be arrested again, the total disregard of shoplifters who operate in plain sight.

Homeless encamped in tents everywhere you want to look, a market for broken down RVs rented as living space to the upper homeless class.

Giant piles of refuse and clothing surrounding these places.

Local police operate with one hand tied to their foot by their socialist controllers.

Rogue TV reporters, trying to discuss the above are denounced as “fake news”.

 

 

You might remember my postings here about my experiences with the R’s and being a Ron Paul Delegate to the Washington

State Republican Convention, and how they ran over us “Paulistas”.

The local Republicans still seem to be locked into a secret agenda coming from – who knows where it comes from.

Nothing but crickets about how to reclaim some kind of order and sanity.

Seems like so long ago that I had some hope of a better future, now, it’s looking pretty dark.

 

Sorry for ranting, I think it’s the approaching Holidays that stir my emotions.

Alex Valdor @ 11:50

Posted by Captain Hook @ 11:59 on November 17, 2019  

Ya nobody has ever talked about that before.

Chuckle

Excellent interview with John Rubino on USAWatchdog .com

Posted by Alex Valdor @ 11:50 on November 17, 2019  

If you only have 5 minutes , start at the 27 minute mark . It woke me up .
All of us , whether we have physical or G&S mining shares need to consider what he says , in the event of global fiat currency collapse .

IPSO – Indeed , the Seahawks dodged the bullet

Posted by Alex Valdor @ 11:44 on November 17, 2019  

He is a team morale ticking time bomb .

Morning Ipso

Posted by Buygold @ 9:55 on November 17, 2019  

Yeah, I saw that on the news today. You’re right, he doesn’t want to play. He looked like he was out of shape.

He doesn’t need to play since Nike rewarded his behavior with endorsement money.

I feel like I’ve been in a time warp for the last 20 years and don’t recognize my country. The Seahawks are blessed that he didn’t take the deal, he’s a cancer.

Buygold

Posted by ipso facto @ 9:31 on November 17, 2019  

Did you see what happened with Kapernick’s tryout? At the last minute he changed the venue so only a few teams saw him work out. If he was serious about playing he would have showed up where everyone thought he was gonna be … but NO he just wants the publicity. What a tool!

Kapernick the Plague! Works for me! 🙂

PS The Seahawks offered him a job some months ago as a back up QB. He thought that was beneath him so he turned it down. Personally I don’t think he’s good enough to be #2. The Seahawks dodged a bullet!

treefrog, Ipso

Posted by Buygold @ 19:28 on November 16, 2019  

treefrog – see if that works

Ipso – 24 teams? 23 teams there because they don’t want to be accused of collusion. Kapernick is like the plague,

I am monitoring. the VIX [aka. TVIX] for a buy

Posted by Richard640 @ 18:10 on November 16, 2019  

VIX Futures Hit New Record Short: Is A Historic Volatility Squeeze Coming?

If Fishman is correct, there is never point in worrying about record VIX net spec exposure ever, as every position merely represents an offset to an equally matched long position somewhere else. We know that’s incorrect however, because the biggest one week surge on record in non-commercial specs took place during the February 2018 VIXplosion week, which confirms that not only were ETPs not perfectly hedged, but there was an epic VIX short squeeze which as many recall sent spot VIX into the 50s.

SO FOR ALL THOSE WHO HOPE TO MITIGATE THE IMPORTANCE OF A RECORD VIX NET SHORT IN FUTURES, NOT ONLY DO WE DISAGREE THAT THIS POSITION IS “PERFECTLY” HEDGE WITH COMMERCIAL LONGS, BUT SINCE NON-COMMERCIAL ACTORS ARE MORE LIKELY TO REVERSE POSITIONS, CATCHING COMMERCIAL LONGS OFFSIDE AND UNWILLING TO PART WITH THEIR LONGS, IT IS OUR BELIEF THAT THE POTENTIAL FOR A HISTORIC VIX SHORT SQUEEZE IS NOW FAR GREATER THAN IT WAS DURING THE FEB 2018 VIXPLOSION WHICH ENDED UP WIPING OUT ALL THOSE WHO WERE LONG INVERSE VIX ETNS. WE, FOR ONE, CAN’T WAIT TO FIND OUT JUST WHAT “COLLECTING PENNIES IN FRONT OF A STEAMROLLER” TRADE WILL BE WIPED OUT DURING THE NEXT EPIC VIX SQUEEZE.

ISEE INDEX

LAST UPDATED AT 16:15, NOV 15, 2019 – DATA UPDATES EVERY 20 MINUTES

All Securities=100–UNCH
All Equities Only=140%
All Indexes & ETFs Only=82UNCH
ISEE Sentiment Index

Investors often buy call and put options to express their actual market view of a particular stock, and because of that, opening such long transactions are thought to best represent market sentiment. Market maker and firm trades, which are excluded, are not considered representative of true market sentiment due to their specialized nature. As such, the ISEE calculation method allows for a more accurate measure of true investor sentiment than traditional put/call ratios.

Because of this distinctive calculation methodology, ISEE has been referenced by The Wall Street Journal, Barron’s and other leading publications as a useful investment tool. Investors and investment professionals can use this unique put/call value to determine how other investors view stock prices, as well as to supplement and validate their own market views.

David Gilmours favorite band nobody ever heard of

Posted by overton @ 18:03 on November 16, 2019  

buygold, 14:53

Posted by treefrog @ 15:26 on November 16, 2019  

whatever it is, it isn’t coming through except as a micro-thumbnail

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Post by the Golden Rule. Oasis not responsible for content/accuracy of posts. DYODD.