OASIS FORUM Post by the Golden Rule. GoldTent Oasis is not responsible for content or accuracy of posts. DYODD.

Stray Cats

Posted by commish @ 18:08 on January 22, 2020  

84023705_10207375731788404_8208027036342550528_n

I can see where that might be a problem

Posted by ipso facto @ 17:06 on January 22, 2020  

EV Blog Admits: Tesla’s “Autopilot Will Probably Not Stop For Service Vehicles Parked In Lanes Of Traffic”

https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/ev-blog-admits-teslas-autopilot-will-probably-not-stop-service-vehicles-parked-lanes

Today will gladly be forgotten. Ouch

Posted by ipso facto @ 16:54 on January 22, 2020  

Bernie Sanders Hasn’t Quite Captured What Wall Street Does: It’s Actually a Fraud-Monetization System with a Money-Printing Unit Called the New York Fed

Posted by Richard640 @ 16:15 on January 22, 2020  

By Pam Martens and Russ Martens: January 21, 2020 ~

Senator Bernie Sanders has come closer than anyone on the Presidential campaign trail in defining what Wall Street actually does. Sanders has repeatedly stated at his rallies that “the business model of Wall Street is fraud.”

That analysis is correct but abbreviated. Sanders needs to go further. It’s not just Wall Street’s business model that has left the United States with the greatest wealth inequality since the Roaring Twenties (a time when Wall Street investment banks were also allowed to own deposit-taking banks). It’s how Wall Street is monetizing that fraud that poses an existential threat to the solvency of the United States and the impoverishment of millions of Americans.

The attempted WeWork Initial Public Offering (IPO) of last year was a classic example of how Wall Street can put lipstick on a pig, pass it off as a hot new startup company, and sell its shares, which were overpriced by about $40 billion, to unwary public pension funds and mutual funds that dominate millions of Americans’ 401(k) plans. The IPO failed to materialize simply because alternative media sent the dirty details of the offering viral, forcing business media to cover the story.

Rather than being a hot new tech startup with oodles of potential, WeWork was a money-losing real estate leasing company with a grifter as its CEO. That, however, didn’t stop two of the largest law firms, Skadden Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom and Simpson, Thacher & Bartlett, from representing the company and the underwriters, respectively, and it didn’t stop two of the biggest firms on Wall Street, JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs, from trying to unload the dog of a deal on investors for a hefty underwriting fee.

https://wallstreetonparade.com/2020/01/bernie-sanders-hasnt-quite-captured-what-wall-street-does-its-actually-a-fraud-monetization-system-with-a-money-printing-unit-called-the-new-york-fed/

Pod Peeple=Sure, that’s the greatest economy ever.

Posted by Richard640 @ 15:59 on January 22, 2020  
The economy is now crashing upwards. There hasn’t even been fake growth since 2014 and the entire climb of the stock market is due to multiple expansion. Tesla’s sales actually declined YOY, only rescued by fake reporting of cars supposedly paid for with checks. Yet the stock has added an entire BMW of market cap in three weeks.
Twenty somethings can only look to a bright future of living in 80sq ft pods while working for a Megacap in San Francisco while dodging needles and shit walking to work.
Sure, that’s the greatest economy ever.=
*************************************************
BRIDGEWATER’S PRINCE=As a reminder, in 2018 cash ended up being the best performing assets. And with Bridgewater now claiming that “this time is totally different”, will 2020 be another painful repeat of 2018?

 

The market is in the process of going parabolic, what do you think is likely to be the outcome?!
We all know anytime a billionaire tells you something on live TV you will almost always profit by doing the opposite.
*****************************************************
This story was already written about 100 years ago:
“There is no means of avoiding a final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as a result of a voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved.” – Ludwig von Mises

A ZH reader

Posted by Richard640 @ 15:54 on January 22, 2020  
Despite being all-in equities right now I’m still a big believer in Hyman Minsky’s Market Instability Hypothesis and yes, we’re now in what Minsky described as the Ponzi Investment phase.
Long term this comment will surely come back to haunt Mr. Jensen, short term I find hugely encouraging for continued market gains and short or long term, it’s all wildly entertaining and insanely fun.
Staying long, locking in gains and looking forward to more gains.  It’s STILL FREE MONEY and it’s still just laying there waiting for someone to pick it up.
How can anybody not be enjoying this shit?  This is a GREAT time to be alive.

Prince=Bridgewater-co-cio-boom-bust-cycle-over

Posted by Richard640 @ 15:49 on January 22, 2020  
 
but also to the broader cycle of economic expansion and contraction that repeats itself. And as a result of central bank intervention since the financial crisis and monetary easing, that cycle has effectively been disrupted and has helped fuel the longest-running bull market in stocks. That has also led the hedge fund industry to struggle to match gains of passive funds tracking indexes, since virtually no downturns are now possible with central banks intervening every time there is even a modest downturn, something which BofA first pointed out in December 2017 when it wrote that “In Every Market Shock Since 2013 Central Banks Have Stepped In To Protect Markets.“It now appears that this last piece of tinfoil “conspiracy theory” has become “fact”, validated by one of the most respected stewards of other people’s money.
 
Or, in other words, “stocks prices have reached what looks like a permanently rising plateau.”
Could Bridgewater merely be talking its book? Certainly: the world’s biggest hedge funds suffered its first annual loss since 2000 in its most prominent Pure Alpha II last year, largely as a result of hedging, or short trades. The fund lost 0.5%, only the fourth annual decline since starting in 1991. As such, perhaps Prince’s observation is just a warning that Bridgewater will no longer actually “hedge” and will go all in on the long side.
That may also explain why Prince said that performance this year has been so far good for the firm. It certainly explains why just yesterday, his boss Ray Dalio, rehashes his warning from Jan 2018 – just before the market cracked – when he urged investors not to miss out an opportunity to benefit from strong markets. “Cash is trash,” he said in a CNBC interview in Davos on Tuesday. “There’s still a lot of money in cash.”
As a reminder, in 2018 cash ended up being the best performing assets. And with Bridgewater now claiming that “this time is totally different”, will 2020 be another painful repeat of 2018?

Ding-a-ling….

Posted by Richard640 @ 15:38 on January 22, 2020  

A MAGAZINE PICTURE ESSAY

The potential BOOM-BUST-CYCLE-IS-OVER top

Could the rally continue?  For sure.  We have crossed firmly into speculative mode.  Is this a great “investment opportunity?”  Not a friggin’ chance…

Thanks for reading,
Kevin Muir
the MacroTourist

PS:  If we end up topping somewhere in here, I will label this the BOOM-BUST-CYCLE-IS-OVER top.  There was another Prince who said something about “dancing while the music was playing” that top ticked the previous cycle.  I sure hope for this Prince’s sake, history doesn’t repeat.

Fib Resonance Target

Posted by Captain Hook @ 14:05 on January 22, 2020  

…is ~ 3450 SPX.

Wouldn’t doubt for a minute it can get there with all the money they are throwing at this thing.

Don’t know how they cut the junky off ever now.

The money printers are trapped.

It will get very ugly at some point.

Cheers

Hi R640

Posted by Maddog @ 13:40 on January 22, 2020  

Option talk is way beyond my vocabulary, they have turned it into a foreign language….which as far as I can see is just camouflage/bullshit for a rigged mkt, where on expiration they just use brute force, to ram the basis to the mid point of largest OI strike .

Mr.Copper

Posted by ipso facto @ 13:36 on January 22, 2020  

No one said anything about you being “un-American.”

I see you deleted the main part of the post yourself. You didn’t need to do that. It’s free speech you know.

Watch the S&P 3320-30-50 area-this is beyond my ken-though I get the general idea–Maddog or Capt Hook care to make a brief comment?

Posted by Richard640 @ 12:15 on January 22, 2020  
“Buying Momentum Has Fizzled Out”: CTAs Are Now All-In
estimates of major hedge funds’ exposure to DM equities (30-day beta) show that more hedge funds are exiting longs now than was the case at the end of December. Of course, long/short funds and other fundamentals-based, value-oriented investors following bottom-up strategies are feeling out dips to buy. Prior to this, however, global macro hedge funds, managed futures funds, and other such top-down investors had already started moving last week to tentatively unwind long positions, partly in response to the apparent depletion of market-positive news.
Finally, going back to what has been a key market driver, namely (extreme) dealer delta and gamma positioning, McElligott writes that we “did see some of that “extreme” $Gamma and $Delta “drop-off” after last week’s expiry; however, enough was rolled “out and up” to maintain “still extreme” historic percentiles ($Gamma still 88th %ile since 2014; $Delta still 96th %ile).
 
So for those asking where is the next level (of gamma gravity), McElligott answers that “well outside of the meaningful aggregate $Gamma “in and around” here ($6.0B at 3300 strike, another $17B btwn 3310 and 3330)”, the “new” largest line is the +$6.3B at the 3350 strike” as dealers remain “very long” which in turn helps insulate the market from shocks while allowing the relentless creep higher in risk prices to continue unabated.
It also means that if and when the selling returns and the S&P breaks below 3,300, it’s going to be a long way down.

This makes sense and will kill the SM stone dead

Posted by Maddog @ 12:15 on January 22, 2020  

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/green-economy-new-black-davos-2020

ipso facto no, I love guns and accessories.

Posted by Mr.Copper @ 11:56 on January 22, 2020  

Does that post make me appear anti American?? Geez. Delete it for me.

Skeena Resources getting beaten up today

Posted by ipso facto @ 11:43 on January 22, 2020  

Mr. Copper … Have you become a gun control advocate?

No Crime In Japan Because Everyone There Is Japanese.

Posted by Mr.Copper @ 11:34 on January 22, 2020  

Answer:

Everybody in Japan is Japanese. 🙂 And the country is like a dictatorship. No human rights. Did you hear about the Nissan CEO? No bail, and they told him they will be hard on him until he confesses. No prompt trial either. He was there 400 days in jail, until he probably got “escaped” with a big bribe. Or pay off. Why is the USA doing business with that country? And communist China? And communist Russia? During Vietnam, we were told we needed to stop the spread of communism. My shoes were made in Vietnam. Figure that out.

 

 

EMX Royalty having a good day

Posted by Ororeef @ 11:03 on January 22, 2020  

Masks and airport checks for Chinese SARS-like virus are there to keep population calm – no government can stop its spread now

Posted by ipso facto @ 11:02 on January 22, 2020  

https://www.rt.com/news/478911-masks-sars-china-virus/

Maybe I’m too optimistic

Posted by Buygold @ 10:35 on January 22, 2020  

but I get the sense that these shares don’t want to die…

bubblevision reports

Posted by ipso facto @ 10:32 on January 22, 2020  

40% of Americans can’t cover a $1000 emergency without borrowing money.

Prospective homeless people in the next downturn.

FYI

Posted by Richard640 @ 10:00 on January 22, 2020  
 DAVID ROSENBERG–ECONOMIST

·

1h

Donald Trump boasts of the US industrial boom in Davos. Obviously clued out that ISM mfg is at a June ‘09 low; there’ve been no mfg jobs created since July; and industrial production actually lower now than it was 14 yrs ago! Find the antonym to ‘boom,’ and you have the story.

A ZH reader on the stock mkt and the deteriorating economy

Posted by Richard640 @ 9:52 on January 22, 2020  

watch when congress allows student debt relief …on top of stimulus of infrastructure bills Trade agreements and exploding energy sectors …added cherry on Top…accept it invest in it..get rich

A diagnostic clue? Netflix-gave up the unwarranted 8 buck after hrs gain & now down $10 and sinking fast as I write

Posted by Richard640 @ 9:41 on January 22, 2020  

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX?p=NFLX&.tsrc=fin-srch

just like Biden ! A sell out for “the Rich Americans”

Posted by Ororeef @ 9:25 on January 22, 2020  

Breaking Bombshell: Elizabeth Warren’s Son-in-Law Produced Film Funded by Iranian Government

You’ve gotta like these guy’s dividend policy

Posted by ipso facto @ 9:24 on January 22, 2020  

Gold Resource Corporation Achieves Record 2019 Annual Gold Production, Up 50% Year-Over-Year

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-corporation-achieves-record-2019-130010404.html

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Post by the Golden Rule. Oasis not responsible for content/accuracy of posts. DYODD.