US Share Market – Is it Over?
Many people are getting excited assuming this will be a V-Bottom and here we go. Just because Trump is pushing to get the economy going, the damage inflicted by the socialists cheered by their press is far more serious than anyone dares to even contemplate. I realize that Trump has stated that the market will make new highs and the economy will come back stronger than ever. Sorry to say, while we will see new highs in the US share market, that is not right now and it will NOT be on the back of a new robust economic boom. It will be because Europe is absolutely imploding.
The Head of France, Macron, has come out and warned that the “EU will fail without financial transfers” which is a direct assault against the Netherlands and Germany. He has further warned that otherwise, the Union remains a purely economic project and cannot be a political player. Macron realizes that Europe cannot survive. The ploy to try to keep debts in check and austerity will not work and he is demanding the excess money of the Netherlands and Germany be sent to other states as welfare checks. But then what? The system is unsustainable and even if the Netherlands and Germany agreed, their surpluses will quickly prove to be futile. Capital will flee Europe for there remains a risk that they will impose capital controls. That capital will flee to US equities as confidence in government debts suddenly declines dramatically.
One reader asked:
Resistance remains at the 24700 level on a closing basis for this week. There remains a risk that this week can still produce a temporary high.