I don’t think he knows he didn’t have any credibility in the first place underestimating Putin and also biting the hand that feeds him, making threats that he can’t back up that would worry Putin, just annoy him. Now people are gathering wood so they don’t freeze in winter. He has a alter ego that will be looking at dragging in allies like they did in Viet Nam. They can never look down the road so where are the advisors putting the economic and physical safety of the citizens?
Ukraine has always been about Ukraine and they’re endless war with Russia if someone is willing to enable them and because of that predictable. Like WW11 it didn’t take a genius to figure out which side they’re neocons would choose that would enable them to fight Russia and to hell with the rest of the world.