OASIS FORUM Post by the Golden Rule. GoldTent Oasis is not responsible for content or accuracy of posts. DYODD.

I think your right. That’s exactly what he acts like.

Mass corruption including enabling illegal voting. Just finished watching it. Must see. Massive corruption they don’t even get to hide stupid. From masks to spelling Trump’s name wrong on the ballots.

https://x.com/TPostMillennial/status/1852190505028735340

Cuban makes me cringe! Is he a deep state wannabe?

https://gregreese.substack.com/p/rampant-voter-fraud-ahead-of-election?publication_id=706779&post_id=151025953&r=poko7&triedRedirect=true

Hurricane damage continues, so does the suffering and misery.

Marjorie Taylor Greene reveals FEMA not paying linemen who are trying to repair damage, but are now striking.

Such a stinking pile of crap is our “government”.

https://x.com/RepMTG/status/1851776751321465278

Poor Cuban now neither side likes him. She’s trying to hold on to the woman’s vote then insinuates any woman who votes for Trump is stupid. They have nothing so trying to promote fear but causing them fear they could lose more women’s votes than they already have who focus on real issues.

Here’s the thing that should really should give a clue on what a disaster she’s be for the economy.  They also don’t like him contradicting her on taxing unrealized gains. He denied it and she still supports it.

I think I’m ranting. Despite the dollar going up or down the fundamentals are the same and debt could even go up with the currency.  I think it’s not just trade but I suspect some countries are colluding with each other. Buy dollars, lower their currency then sell the dollars.

It’s just a IOU and global  backed by nothing but debt by people who never pay anyone back. But still the market reacts. That’s the illusion we have to figure out. Do we trade on the illusion or the fundamentals.

BREAKING : The Kamala Harris campaign has told Mark Cuban to stop doing interviews on behalf of the Harris Campaign.

https://x.com/WallStreetSilv/status/1852390942763843850

My guess with the SM is with everything else going on including currency and lowering rates except Japan which might be good. For gold all around because before it seemed like the yen and gold were moving up together. That’s just TA alone though.

But all and all with everything else going on where else are they going to put their money. But !!! It helps if they can paint a optimistic picture because people can be reactive in what they perceive even more so than the reality or fundamentals.

Like a Lead Zeppelin lol my mind can’t focus too deep right now after my daughters critical injuries but that article doesn’t address the needs for even building supply’s after the hurricane or the neds of the people left behind homeless. They still need help and housing now.  Also increased insurance should of already been priced in when they announced a unusual high hurricane season that didn’t occur but the amount of damage made up for it so before it started even before the  insurances we’re going up. Perhaps not as much in NC.

Inflation isn’t over, and replaced people’s budget with debt.

Also there was talk about no side talking  about the deficit.  Trump and Musk with Musk saying he could guestimate dropping 2 Trillion.of it off. Harris would just be a disaster anywhere you would look unless your looking for free stuff that’s would be illegal anyways. . So it seems like the market is planning or wanting a Trump win.

Today’s manipulated job numbers simply gives the Fed room to lower rates 25 basis points next week. The need is there, especially with a stealth seller that is dumping bonds like crazy……..

So, dump gold as low as possible before next week, when inevitably it will pop when rates are lowered next week……

Sorry for the slow response.

As for the S & P shorts, I’m just not sure what makes the SM go down anymore. Good or bad news, higher dollar, higher rates, slowing economy, war, etc. It just goes up.

There is something going on in the bond market for sure. If the Fed cares, they’re already behind and in trouble. Someone is likely in trouble IMHO, because I’m sure a lot of the pro’s bet the other way like you did when the Fed cut. Why would you do anything else. Someone is dumping bigly though.

10 ‘s have taken out recent lows, now 5’s as well …..rates are flying higher…….what is going on I wonder ….

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/behind-bond-sell

https://x.com/TheLastDegree/status/1851268453476278400

Says lots of big business behind Trump. Imagine how our adversary’s are going to use our open southern borders to bring in their cheap copies products to America to destroy American business within and throw in Camelon tax increases and triple the taxes when Trump’s tax deductions are expired next year but Trump will tariff them out and lower taxes here across the board .

Elections their talk games aren’t going to sway our adversary’s or angry billionaires. Another one I saw was someone by the name of Fitzgerald.

……especially with the 10y pushing rates back up to the recent highs @4.34%….

And the stocks love it, while we’re held in check????

And may see daily changes within a range less significant political or financial changes if it keeps on this path maybe moving up a bit in the next couple of weeks and wouldn’t put it past them to pull a psychout around the Fed day but otherwise great for day traders though if they get it right. .

and saw this comment…..seems the City/Banksters never learn.

PS i hear this all the time where I work.
“Yes we have mitigated this risk through hedging. We have booked X swaps and have a line of credit with Y”
“Hmmmm who are the swaps with”
“Goldies”
“In extreme market stress will Goldies settle those hedges?”
“Mmmmm dunno”
“Do you think the l/c will be honoured”
“Mmmmm dunno”
“Well you haven’t mitigated the risk have you…..”
“But but this will never happen”
“Dude I was there in 2008….”

The short s&p is a small position on a short pun leash.  Anyway I believe a substantial bear is around the corner, I just don’t know where the corner is but I keep  a starter position to remind me.

pm’s havent held gains but it is early and a Friday.  Oil stocks doing well.  I have XOM and CVX.

aurum

TLT is a long bond position paying about 4% interest yearly but paid monthly and hard to get into too much trouble.  I am guessing some foreign bond holders have been dumping relentlessly because they realize we might freeze their holdings or no longer need dollars or they feel our finances are shaky.  I bought in anticipation of the 50 basis cut not thinking about any of the above.

Guessing TLT is a long bonds position?

I don’t really play in the SM anymore, but interesting stuff. I don’t have the guts to short the SM, just seems it rarely goes down anymore. Programmed to go up endlessly.

Crazy strength. May not get any help there.